The Indiana Pacers will host the Sacramento Kings tonight in a sort of homecoming for longtime Pacer Domantas Sabonis. The Pacers shipped Sabonis off at last year’s trade deadline for a haul that included Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield. Bettors searching for value on Friday’s Kings-Pacers matchup should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left far too much value on the Domantas Sabonis player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Kings-Pacers NBA Player Prop | Domantas Sabonis
Domantas Sabonis Prop O/U 21.5 Points
This number is a bit high for Sabonis, who has averaged only 18.8 points per game this year, but the absence of De’Aaron Fox makes backing him tonight quite sharp. Fox leads the Kings’ starters in usage rate (27.9%). Sabonis (21%) slots in right behind him. Fox’s backup, Davion Mitchell (14.7%) is a low-usage, defensive-minded point guard. As a result, the rest of Sacramento’s starters, especially Sabonis, should draw extra volume.
This number would have opened a point or two higher if Sabonis had exploded in the three games he played without Fox. Unfortunately, the three teams Fox missed action against, the Miami Heat, New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers, all rank top-three in paint defense. Since Sabonis takes most of his shots from the restricted area — he leads the team in shots made (5) and attempted (7.1) per game from that zone — he didn’t benefit as much. However, Sabonis still finished with point totals of 22, 18 and 20 in those games.
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Sabonis should benefit from tonight’s matchup. Unlike the Heat, Knicks and Cavaliers, the Indiana Pacers have struggled to defend the interior this year. They have allowed the 11th-most points in the paint per game on the season (50.6) and the fourth-most through the last seven games (56.9). They have allowed the sixth-most points per game to centers both on the year (23.9) and through the last seven (25) as well. The Pacers gave up 31 points to Anthony Davis in their most recent contest.
Bettors looking to capitalize on Fox’s absence should head to DraftKings Sportsbook for the best price on Domantas Sabonis player props. Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has the over 21.5 priced at -139. FanDuel has moved the number up to 22.5. But DraftKings is charging only -115 for the over 21.5, so bettors should head there for the best deal before it disappears. Users who are yet to register at DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager!
Best NBA Kings-Pacers Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis Over 21.5 Points (-115 for 1.5 Units) at DraftKings
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