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Categories NBA

Best Kings-Suns Player Prop: Will Domantas Sabonis Hit a 3? (February 14)

February 13, 2023 | 5:27 PM by Isaiah Sirois
The best NBA parlay picks today: This +481 NBA parlay today has picks for CJ McCollum, Domantas Sabonis and a Magic-Warriors prediction ...

After acquiring Kevin Durant at the trade deadline, the Phoenix Suns will host the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Because Durant isn’t expected to play, this game will prove that much more important for a Kings team looking to secure a playoff bid. Bettors searching for good bets for Tuesday’s Suns-Kings game should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left too much value on the Domantas Sabonis player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

Best Kings-Suns NBA Player Prop | Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Prop O/U 0.5 3-Pointers 

Once a much higher-volume shooter, Domantas Sabonis has become more of a facilitator over time. He has averaged only 1.2 attempts from beyond the arc per game this year, a considerable step back from his average last season (2) and the year before (2.6). However, Sabonis has improved his efficiency by converting 35.4% of his attempts from long range.

For whatever reason, Sabonis likes to shoot 3-pointers when lined up against Phoenix’s center, Deandre Ayton. Sabonis has made at least one 3-pointer in each of their last four meetings, a streak that dates back to early 2021, when Sabonis still played for the Pacers. More importantly, Sabonis has attempted more than one 3-pointer in all but one of his last five games against Ayton.

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The newly shorthanded Suns may struggle early as they adjust to life without Cameron Johnson and Mikal Bridges. Both players are respectable, switchable defenders who can protect the perimeter well, and it won’t be easy for the Suns to replace their contributions. That could lead to a few extra chances for Sabonis to sink home a triple as Ayton, a negative defender this year, won’t have as much help.

DraftKings Sportsbook opened the over at +170, which gives this play implied odds of 37%. Although Sabonis has made a 3-pointer in only 18 of his 54 appearances (33.3%), the fact he has done so in his last four games against Ayton makes that number feel a bit high. Sabonis shot 1-for-2 from beyond the arc in his last game against Phoenix. New users at DraftKings can get $150 in bonus bets by winning a $5 moneyline wager!

Best NBA Kings-Suns Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis Over 0.5 3-Pointers (+170 for 0.5 Unit) at DraftKings

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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