Having knowledge about the sports betting markets and conducting thorough research on games is crucial for maximizing profits. Fortunately, OddsShopper is a useful tool that can assist with this process by analyzing extensive data and compiling a list of the top NBA bets for the day. This article specifically focuses on the five most favorable wagers available on DraftKings for Tuesday, May 16, as determined by the OddsShopper Premium Tool.
Best NBA Bets Today on DraftKings | May 16
Anthony Davis Over 22.5 Points
Davis has a favorable matchup against the Denver Nuggets, where he should have a mismatch every time he is on offense. With no one on the Nuggets able to guard him one-on-one effectively, Davis should have no problem scoring over 22.5 points. This is a low number, but this pick offers a great value at -120 and has a high probability of hitting.
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists
This pick is backed by data from the OddsShopper Premium tool, which shows that it has a 3% ROI and is the best play on the market at DraftKings at -125. Jokic is known for his exceptional passing ability, and with the Nuggets relying heavily on his playmaking, he should have ample opportunity to accumulate assists. With a 57% chance of hitting, this bet offers good value and is a +EV play.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 3-Pointers
Porter benefits from having Jamal Murray in the lineup, which creates more spacing and scoring opportunities for the Nuggets. With the Lakers likely focusing their defense on containing Jokic and Murray, Porter should have open looks from beyond the arc. Expect him to take advantage of these opportunities and exceed the 2.5 3-pointers mark. This bet is a strong play with a high probability of hitting.
Shane Bieber Under 5.5 Strikeouts
Although Bieber is a talented pitcher, he has not been striking out many batters lately. In addition, the Chicago White Sox are not a team that strikes out frequently. The combination of Bieber’s recent performance and the White Sox’s ability to make contact makes the under 5.5 strikeouts a good bet. While the odds are -135, the probability of winning is high, making it a worthwhile pick.
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases
Judge has had success against Kevin Gausman, with three home runs and a good overall batting average against. Judge is motivated to perform well, especially after recent accusations of cheating surrounding the Yankees. With his familiarity and success against Gausman, Judge is likely to get hits and accumulate at least 1.5 total bases. This bet offers good value and has a high chance of hitting.
