Basketball betting enthusiasts, welcome to this article, where we break down three NBA betting picks that are worthy of consideration for a profitable NBA parlay. Using market data and our tool algorithm, we have identified three plus EV legs with an expected ROI of 18% and an expected win percentage of 16%. Without further ado, let’s get started with the best NBA parlay today, which features an exciting Nikola Jokic aspect to it.
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Best NBA Parlay Today – March 18
Russell Westbrook (Los Angeles Clippers) Under 32.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -102
Our first pick for the best NBA parlay today is Russell Westbrook of the Los Angeles Clippers to have under 32.5 points, rebounds, and assists. This pick has an expected ROI of 10%, making it a significant contributor to our parlay. As mentioned in the information above, we have found a significant discrepancy in the market, where the line is under 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists in some cases, giving us a cushion of one to two extra points, rebounds, or assists to play with.
Westbrook’s season average in points, rebounds, and assists is 24.5, 8.4, and 11.1, respectively, which adds up to 44.0 — well over the given line of 32.5. However, in the last five games, he has only averaged 31.8 points, rebounds, and assists, which is just over the line. Based on the data and market trends, we believe this pick is a profitable play.
Indiana Pacers 1st Quarter Spread +2.5 -110
Our second pick is for the Indiana Pacers to cover the 1st quarter spread of +2.5 against the Philadelphia 76ers. The Pacers have been a solid team in the first quarter, covering the spread in 22 out of their 39 games this season, giving them a cover rate of 56.4%. In contrast, the 76ers have only covered the first-quarter spread in 16 out of their 39 games, giving them a cover rate of 41%.
Additionally, the 76ers are coming off a tough road game against the New York Knicks, which could affect their performance in the first quarter. All of these factors indicate that the Pacers have a better chance of covering the spread in the first quarter, making it a profitable leg for our parlay.
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Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 Assists -110
Our final pick is for Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets to have under 9.5 assists against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Jokic is having an incredible season, averaging 26.3 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 8.5 assists per game. However, he has only recorded 10 or more assists in 18 out of his 51 games this season, giving him a percentage of 35.3%.
In his last five games, he has averaged 7.4 assists, which is well below the given line of 9.5. Additionally, the Cavaliers are one of the best teams in the league at defending against opposing centers, allowing only 9.8 assists per game to the position. All of these factors indicate that Jokic is unlikely to record 10 or more assists in this game, making it a valuable pick for our parlay.