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Categories NBA

Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today for Monday, April 29

Updated April 29, 2024 | 10:58 am CDT by Isaiah Sirois
The best NBA player prop bets and picks today for Monday, April 29, include wagers on LeBron James and Anthony Davis...

We put together consecutive 2-0 showings on both Friday and Saturday, so can we keep our hot streak rolling tonight? I think so. We have three NBA games on tap, but I’m turning my attention exclusively to the battle between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets. I’ve found two spots worth getting a unit on with the help of OddsShopper Premium and our NBA +EV betting tools today, so let’s dive into my NBA player prop picks for Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Check out our NBA betting model for more picks!

NBA Player Props Today: Picks for LeBron James & More

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LeBron James Player Prop

The Los Angeles Lakers delayed the inevitable by winning Game 4 at home, bringing the series back to Denver. But now that the Minnesota Timberwolves have finished the Phoenix Suns in four, the Nuggets need to clean things up and start getting ready for the next series. Look for them to step it up in front of the home crowd.

While LeBron James has put together a solid series so far, averaging 27.3 points per game, he has needed to shoot 58/37/75 to do so. James shot 54/41/75 this regular season and 50/32/77 in 2022-23. He also shot just 52/27/76 in last year’s series versus the Nuggets. James might be a future Hall of Fame, but he probably can’t sustain his production in Game 5.

James’ points prop is trading at 26.5 across the market. While most books have the under priced well below even, ESPNBET is charging just +100. Sure, James has beaten that number twice this series, but the return to Denver could prove problematic. Over his last five trips to the Mile High City, James has scored over 26.5 points just once — his 27-point showing in Game 1 of this series. Let’s fade him once more, possibly for the last time this season.

The best NBA player prop bets and picks today for Saturday, April 27, include wagers on Jonas Valanciunas and Kristaps Porzingis...
Sign up for OddsShopper Premium today – get it for 50% off with code “POSITIVE”!

NBA Player Prop Pick: LeBron James Under 26.5 Points +100 at ESPNBET
For the best price currently available, check out our LeBron James points live odds page!



Anthony Davis Player Prop

Just as it might be our last day to fade LeBron James, it could also be our last day to fade Anthony Davis, and our NBA +EV betting tools recommend taking the opportunity to do so, at least on the glass. With his rebounding total set to 13.5, we’re getting too much positive expected value (+EV) to pass up at DraftKings:

Davis clocks in at just +110 at DraftKings to stay under the 13.5. He is averaging 15.8 rebounds per game this series, largely because of a 23-rebound showing in Game 4. He averaged 12.5 in Denver. That said, our tools don’t look at stats to originate picks.

So how do our NBA betting tools work? That’s simple: they index the odds from across the market; adjust for book sharpness, hold and more; and generate a wager’s true odds (a breakeven price).

When we can buy a bet for odds longer than that breakeven number, we know we’re getting +EV, which means we should add it to our cards. Our tools identify hundreds of these bets each day.

Bets like this one, over a large enough sample, can help you transform your bankroll just as they transformed mine. While you won’t win every bet, and your bankroll won’t transform overnight, we have the results to prove you’ll turn a profit over the long run.

For more picks, sign up for OddsShopper Premium. You can use promo code “POSITIVE” to get your first week (or month) for 50% off (regular price of $14.95 weekly, $49.95 monthly)! If you still have questions, check our guide to using +EV tools!

NBA Player Prop Pick: Anthony Davis Under 13.5 Rebounds +110 at DraftKings
For the best price currently available, see our Anthony Davis rebounds live odds page!

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OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

Categories NBA
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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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