The NBA is back with an action-packed 12-game card for tonight’s slate. Two games will appear on national television: the Bucks and Raptors will face off on ESPN’s early slate, then the Heat and Lakers will do battle on the late slate. With 10 other games to research, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through the cracks, including Ben Simmons‘ rebounding prop.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 4
Ben Simmons Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds
The Brooklyn Nets have turned things around this season. After a pathetic start to the year, the Nets are on a 12-game winning streak and have won 16 of their last 17 games. Ben Simmons has proven invaluable during that stretch by averaging 6.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 1.6 steals per game. With his rebounding total set to only 5.5, backing the over makes for a sharp NBA player prop tonight.
NBA Bet Pro projects Simmons for 7.3 rebounds tonight, well above this total. That gives the over an expected win rate of 61%. With BetMGM giving the over only a 54.5% chance of hitting, bettors can secure a bunch of value by locking in this bet at that book. Only eight bets on tonight’s card have double-digit EV, and bettors can view the other seven with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Ben Simmons Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120) at BetMGM
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Isaiah Stewart Prop O/U 7.5 Rebounds
Jalen Duren has cracked Detroit’s starting lineup and done tons of damage on the glass, but Isaiah Stewart has still averaged 7.8 rebounds per game this year. He has averaged 7.7 rebounds over his last three games and should see an uptick in usage with Marvin Bagley III out for extended time with a hand injury.
For tonight’s matchup against the Warriors, NBA Bet Pro projects Stewart to come down with a whopping 9.2 rebounds. The Warriors lead the NBA in pace and have allowed the fifth-most rebounds per game to their opponents (53.7). This bet has an expected win rate of 55%, far better than its implied odds of only 47.6%. Bettors should head to DraftKings for the best price before the line moves. Users yet to register there can even score $200 in bonus bets after the placement of a $5 moneyline wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Stewart Over 7.5 Rebounds (+110) at DraftKings
Bojan Bogdanovic Prop O/U 3.5 Rebounds
Another Detroit Piston, Bojan Bogdanovic, should benefit from Bagley’s absence. Bogdanovic has averaged a steady 3.6 rebounds per game this year and exactly 4 over his last three games. NBA Bet Pro has Bogdanovic coming down with 4.1 rebounds tonight, more than enough to cash this plus-money NBA player prop.
NBA Bet Pro gives the over a 50% chance of hitting. With FanDuel’s odds implying only a 47.2% chance, bettors can secure a respectable chunk of value by locking in this player prop at their book. The line for this bet sits at +108 at Caesars and +105 at DraftKings. Bettors should head to FanDuel quickly in case the book adjusts. New users can even get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000 for any NBA game!
Best NBA Player Prop: Bojan Bogdanovic Over 3.5 Rebounds (+112) at FanDuel
