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Categories NBA

Brandon Ingram Player Prop: Best Pelicans-Clippers Bet (Nov. 24)

Updated November 24, 2023 | 1:24 pm CDT by Isaiah Sirois
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions: Start Your Flex Friday Card with Brandon Ingram (February 9)

The New Orleans Pelicans will visit the Los Angeles Clippers tonight before traveling to face the Dallas Mavericks tomorrow. With this scheduled as their second of three games in four days, we could see some interesting personnel decisions from both sides. Let’s dive into the Brandon Ingram player prop odds for tonight as we look to identify the best bet for this evening’s Pelicans-Clippers game. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos — Louisiana residents should make sure to sign up for bet365 to get $365 in bonus bets after wagering $1. Also, you can always check out my guide to NBA player prop betting as well!

Brandon Ingram Player Prop: Best Pelicans-Clippers Bet Today

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Brandon Ingram has shot reasonably well against the Los Angeles Clippers since joining the New Orleans Pelicans back in 2019. However, his shooting splits of 48/43/87 don’t tell the full story: he is averaging only 22.7 actual points per game against them on 17.1 shot attempts. That’s down from the 23.7 points on 18.1 shots Ingram has averaged for the Pelicans since his arrival.

The books are taking action on Ingram’s points tonight at 24.5, which is a point higher than where I would have set this line. Ingram is averaging just 24 points per game this year. While that does tick up to 25.2 without C.J. McCollum, point guard Jose Alvarado has returned to the mix as of two games ago and can vulture some usage.

Ingram’s shot profile and splits point to value on the under. As far as his splits go, Ingram’s shooting splits have cratered from 54/39/81 at home to 44/17/78 on the road this year. While he has still averaged 24 points per game in both locations, that’s largely been a function of workload: Ingram has played 35.5 minutes per road game but 32.2 minutes per home game.

Ingram’s shot profile is also a concern here. He leads the NBA in mid-range shots made per game (3.3), but the Clippers’ defense coughs up the sixth-fewest mid-range makes per game (3.8).

Ingram’s road volume is somewhat concerning to me, but with the Pelicans in the middle of a road trip and on the front end of a back-to-back set, he could see a lighter workload tonight. The Pelicans are listed as a five-point underdog in this spot, and Ingram is averaging just 23.8 points per game in losses after averaging just 22.4 in them last year. Let’s lock in the under 24.5 for -115 at bet365. if you’re new to bet365, you can take advantage of our bet365 bonus code for either $150 in bonus bets after wagering $5 or your first bet paid back as a bonus bet up to $1,000 if it loses. Louisiana residents, I can do you one (or $215) better: you can get $365 in bonus bets just for wagering $1 by clicking here!

Pelicans-Clippers Player Prop Pick: Brandon Ingram Under 24.5 Points -115 at bet365

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OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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