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Categories NBA

Expert NBA Bets Today: +EV Picks and Betting Insight

Updated February 12, 2025 | 7:55 am CDT by Danny Burke
If you're looking for our best +EV NBA bets, we've got you covered with picks backed by a market-based approached, plus, stats and trends.

If you’re looking for the best expert NBA bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by solid stats and trends. Using some insight and +EV NBA picks, here are the best plays for tonight’s action:

Before we get to some quality expert NBA picks today, we need to point out something magical. Some might even it call it highway robbery.

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Expert NBA Bets Today – +EV NBA Picks and More

Raptors @ 76ers

Scottie Barnes Under 6.5 Assists (-150) at FanDuel

  • Most of the betting market has this prop listed at 5.5.
  • Toronto will be without Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett & Brandon Ingram, which limits the scoring options for Barnes to dish it to and will force him to be more aggressive.
  • Toronto’s offense is 24th in Pts/Poss & 22nd in eFG%.
  • With Joel Embiid on the floor, Philly is a much better defense.
  • Embiid’s Points per 100 Possessions allowed is -9.1, and his eFG% allowed is -3.5%.

Knicks @ Pacers

Pascal Siakam Under 21.5 Points (-115) at BetRivers

  • The Knicks rank 6th in opponent FG% from mid-range (41.9%).
  • The Knicks rank 11th in field goal attempts allowed from mid-range (28.5%).
  • Siakam takes 46% of his shot attempts from mid-range.
  • His usage rate this season is 22.8%, which is his lowest since the 2018-2019 season.
  • In two games vs the Knicks, Siakam scored 12 and 14 points, respectively.

Pistons @ Bulls

Cade Cunningham Under 28.5 Points (-124) at BetRivers

  • 44% of his Cunningham’s shots come from mid-range.
  • The Bulls allow the fourth fewest shot attempts from mid-range (26%).
  • He has scored 22 points and 26 points against Chicago this year.
  • Chicago has an abundance of guards to contain Cunningham, but they’re slacking in depth with their bigs.

Grizzlies @ Suns

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 5.5 Rebounds (-108) at BetRivers

  • He’s averaging 6 rebounds per game this season.
  • The Phoenix Suns are 25th in Rebound %.
  • He snagged 12 rebounds in his last matchup against Phoenix
  • Most of the betting market is -120 or higher on this prop.

Final Thoughts

These picks offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones on a daily basis, make sure you sign up for our free 7-day trial of Portfolio EV, where you can access dozens of +EV wagers every single day.

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Danny Burke

Author

Danny Burke

Danny Burke is a betting analyst at OddsShopper and has been involved in sports media for the past 10 years. He began his career while attending the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where he shared his picks weekly on the local ESPN affiliate. After graduating, Burke made his mark in Las Vegas, hosting various shows for VSiN. He then returned to his hometown of Chicago, where he launched "Rush Hour," the first-ever daily sports betting show to broadcast from an Illinois casino. Additionally, Burke co-hosted “Props & Locks,” which was the first betting segment to air during the Bears’ pregame show on Fox32 Chicago, and ran the program “Bet On, Chicago,'' on WLS-AM 890.

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