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Categories NBA

Lakers-Nuggets Player Prop: This LeBron James Bet is STEALING (Oct. 24)

Updated October 24, 2023 | 5:13 pm CDT by Isaiah Sirois
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The Los Angeles Lakers will visit the Denver Nuggets on NBA Opening Night. The Nuggets knocked the Lakers out of last year’s postseason with a 4-0 sweep, but all but one of those games were within 10 points. The Lakers and LeBron James will look for some revenge tonight, and I’m excited about getting action on this LeBron James player prop. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos!

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Lakers-Nuggets Player Prop: Best Bet for LeBron James

Lakers-Nuggets Odds

Odds via bet365
Lakers: +170 | Nuggets: -200
Lakers +5: -110 | Nuggets -5: -110
Over 228.5: -110 | Under 228.5: -110
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Time: Tuesday, Oct. 24 at 7:30 p.m. ET

LeBron James Underdog Promo

LeBron James H/L 0.5 Points

If you like to make easy money, well, Underdog Fantasy has your back. The DFS gaming site offers users the option to construct lineups of different players and back them to either go higher or lower than a given number in a certain statistical category, and tonight, they’re discounting LeBron James’ point total to… 0.5. Yep, you heard that right: 0.5.

Need a LeBron James player prop? The best Lakers-Nuggets player prop pick for LeBron James on NBA Opening Night has odds of...

If you’re yet to sign up with Underdog Fantasy, you’re in luck. New players can get up to a $500 first deposit match! And yes, you can take advantage of this LeBron James free square even if you’re yet to sign up with the site. Regardless of whether you like the Lakers or the Nuggets tonight, trusting LeBron to go over this number is a sharp decision. Check out our Underdog lineup builder for more +EV picks!

Lakers-Nuggets Player Prop: Best Bet for LeBron James

LeBron James O/U 14.5 Rebounds & Assists

If you’re looking for a traditional pick on the NBA player prop markets, then you’re in luck: we’re backing LeBron James to record more than 14.5 total rebounds and assists. James averaged 14.3 rebounds and assists against the Denver Nuggets in the regular season last year, but all of those games came before L.A. reinvented itself at the deadline. James averaged 19.5 rebounds and assists against the Nuggets in the playoffs.

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The question this line asks is whether James’ range of outcomes is closer to his playoff production, which required him to play 42.7 minutes per game, or his regular season production, for which he played 35.3 minutes per game. But James’ production doesn’t just come down to workload — he averaged 0.456 rebounds and assists per minute in the playoffs and 0.405 in the regular season. At his playoff rate, he’d record 16.3 rebounds and assists over his usual regular-season workload.

That said, tonight’s Lakers will look a bit different from both the team LeBron took on the Nuggets in the regular season and in the playoffs. Dennis Schroder, an assist extraordinaire, is gone. Replacing him is Gabe Vincent. Jarred Vanderbilt is out, which should see more effective offensive weapons in Taurean Price and Rui Hachimura on the court. The personnel changes in L.A. make it likelier for James to go over this relatively low number.

LeBron James Player Prop Pick: Over 14.5 Points & Assists -102 at FanDuel

OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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