The Sacramento Kings will host the Minnesota Timberwolves on tonight’s late slate. The Timberwolves, who have struggled after spending up to acquire Rudy Gobert, have shown a bit more life since swapping D’Angelo Russell for Mike Conley Bettors looking for sharp NBA Tmberwolves-Kings player props should buy this one at FanDuel — the book has left a bit too much value on the Mike Conley player prop markets. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Timberwolves-Kings NBA Player Prop | Mike Conley
Mike Conley O/U 17.5 Points & Assists
Since arriving in Minnesota, Mike Conley Jr. has taken over as the starting point guard and averaged 9.3 points and 5.4 assists per game (14.9). However, he faced a number of slow-paced teams with strong defenses through that span, including the Dallas Mavericks. He won’t have that problem tonight against the Sacramento Kings, especially since they’ll play on the wrong end of a back-to-back. The fast-paced Kings are 7-3 to the over when playing without rest.
Conley has often feasted against the Kings. He is averaging 17.5 points and 7.5 assists per game against them this year (25), and while those numbers came when he was playing a larger role for the Utah Jazz, his hot streak against De’Aaron Fox dates back to last year. Conley played against Fox three times in the 2021-22 season and averaged 21.3 points and 2.3 assists per game (23.6) in those meetings.
It’s somewhat difficult to project Conley’s minutes here, since we’re working with a seven-game sample, but the Wolves generally lack depth at guard and are trying to win. Anthony Edwards and Nickeil Alexander-Walker are both better at wing, and only Jordan McLaughlin stands out as a solid pivot from Conley. With Conley likely to play a sizeable role against a Kings squad that allows the seventh-most points per game to point guards (25.5) and the sixth-most assists (8.9), backing him to beat this number feels sharp.
The total (17.5) is a bit high but is fair for this matchup. Most books have the juice stacked on the over. However, FanDuel Sportsbook favors Conley to stay under this mark. Bettors should head there to lock in the over at -108 for a half-unit. Readers yet to register at FanDuel can score a no-sweat first bet worth up to $1,000!
Best Timberwolves-Kings Player Prop: Mike Conley Over 17.5 Points & Assists
