My goodness. OG Anunoby is trash. It makes absolutely no sense why the Knicks would trade for him, and then have him defer to Donte DiVincenzo. I mean, my god, what a brutal night on the NBA parlay scene for us. Now it’s time for our top NBA parlay picks for today, Friday, January 12th, including an NBA player prop pick for Paul George.
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It might have been a brutal NIGHT on the parlay scene, but it was a f*cking BEAUTIFUL day on the parlay scene for us!
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NBA Parlay Picks Today: +519 Bet for Friday
Paul George 20+ Points & Clippers -8 (NBA Player Prop/NBA Betting Pick)
Our NBA parlay journey begins in Memphis, with the Clippers coming to town to give the Grizzlies, what we’re hoping is, a beatdown.
And a big part of the potential beatdown is going to be Paul George. This fella is on another planet right now shooting the ball, and we need to get in on this. So, let’s fire up the Paul George 20+ points prop here.
In his last 17 games, PG has gone for 20+ points in **16** of them. I’m no genius, but that seems … like a lot. That 17-game span also included a 23-point outing against the Grizzlies on Dec. 29.
You can find George’s points prop anywhere from 22.5-23.5 around the market, and the OddsShopper Prop Tool projects PG to go over the 22.5 points prop almost 53% of the time. While it’s not a MASSIVE xWin%, I’m extremely confident he gets to 20.
Now, the spread pick … I can understand if you’re a tad hesitant. Laying 8 points on the road can seem like a pretty big number. But, this Clippers team is straight ROLLING right now.
And, on the other side of things, the Grizzlies are on a three-game winning streak, but I’m not buying it — despite a blowout win over the Mavs the other night.
The main reason why I’m into this spread is that Memphis is without Ja Morant. So, they have no true playmaker and flat-out scorer. And against a Clippers team that is just outside the Top 10 in defensive rating, I don’t know where they’re going to generate offense.
Domantas Sabonis 12+ Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
I talk about punchable faces a lot in this column. And, let’s just call a spade a spade. Domantas Sabonis has a V punchable face.
But, what Sabonis also has is the ability to rebound the living hell out of the basketball.
So, we can forgive his facial features for one night, and fire up a rebounds prop for the Kings center.
His rebounding props always seem to open on the high end, but today we caught the books sleeping a little. We got the 12+ rebounds number at a decent price, so we had to fire it up.
In fact, the line moved all the way to 13.5 on his rebounds prop almost immediately after we fired it up, so the books knew we were coming in hot!
Sabonis gets the 76ers tonight sans Joel Embiid, which is primarily the reason this pick stuck out like a sore thumb to me.
If we check out the projections and simulations, the OddsShopper sims this out with Sabonis going over 12.5 boards 53% of the time. So, we’re getting a bit of nice number here by avoiding the hook, which should give us even more expected win percentage.
Dejounte Murray 20+ Points (NBA Player Prop)
It’s not always a great idea to fire off bets based solely on matchup, but there are a lot of signs pointing us in that direction tonight with this Dejounte Murray prop.
This feels like the 371st time the Pacers and Hawks have played this season — especially in the last like two or three weeks. But, here we are again. However, this game will be a tad different as the Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton.
The game is sitting with a 251 total, so there are plenty of points expected to be scored. So, let’s get in on the points party with Murray 20+ points.
I mentioned the matchup-based betting. So let’s take a look.
The Indiana Pacers give up the second-most points to opposing shooting guards this season — ironically the Hawks give up the most. And, what position does Murray play? You know the answer.
So how has Murray performed against the Pacers this year? Well, he just put up a 30-piece against them last time out, and 28 points the game before that.
Crazily enough, these teams have only played twice, though it seems like a billion times. All that to say, Murray has been getting BUCKETS against this Pacers this season.
Let’s watch that continue tonight, and have him cash us a nice ticket here.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Paul George 20+ Points
Leg 2: Clippers -8
Leg 3: Domantas Sabonis 12+ Rebounds
Leg 4: Dejounte Murray 20+ Points
= +519 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
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