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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Dabble
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Martin less than 9.5 points is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -126, so this play is 2.8% +EV.
Underdog Fantasy’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Wiggins less than 4.5 rebounds has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -125, the expected value on this play is +1.6%.
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Sleeper Fantasy is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today Doncic less than 10.5 assists is 1.1% positive, with a 63% win rate on a mediocre 1.6x multiplier (-167 implied odds vs. -172 True Odds).
Dabble trails PrizePicks and Underdog in the implied odds department, going -126 across the app. Kuzma less than 7.5 assists has an expected winning percentage of 58%, which is giving it -138 True Odds and thus a +3.9% EV.
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