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Categories NBA

Best PrizePicks NBA Props: Is Kyrie Irving Really the Lead Playmaker?

January 20, 2023 | 2:13 PM by Sam Smith
Dallas visits Los Angeles on Wednesday, and an NBA Mavericks-Clippers player prop involving Kyrie Irving's turnovers has value...

Friday’s PrizePicks slate is surprisingly high end, with elite players dominating the top of Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Props Tool. With stars like Kyrie Irving  leading the charge, let’s take a look at top picks on the PrizePicks board for Jan. 20.

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PrizePicks NBA Player Props | Jan. 20

Kyrie Irving Under 6.0 Assists

Lead playmaking duties should presumably be Irving’s for the time being due to Kevin Durant‘s injury. And Irving has produced in the assist department in this role, recording six or more in the three games he has played since Durant went out. He has now at least met this line of six assists in six straight games — though four of those were pushes.

But interestingly enough, Ben Simmons is the guy seeing more of an uptick in assists. Simmons has totals of 6, 11, 13, 7 and 9 over his last five, averaging over nine a game in this stretch, compared to Irving’s 6.2. The PrizePicks NBA Player Props Tool is predicting that to hold true tonight as well against the Jazz. Utah presents a slight pace down for the Nets, who are 14th in the NBA since Durant went out, and Stokastic is projecting Irving for only 5.2 assists. That gives the under a 68% expected win rate.

Stephen Curry Over 4.0 3-Pointers

Four is a lot of 3’s for an over, even for Curry, but the PrizePicks NBA Player Props Tool is still all over it. Curry has a projection of 5.2 made 3’s and 71% win expectancy as he takes on the Cavaliers.

This all comes down to personnel for Golden State. The Cavaliers and Warriors are on opposite ends of the pace spectrum — Cleveland is 30th and Golden State first — and Cleveland allows the fifth-fewest 3-point attempts, but the Warriors will likely be without Klay Thompson in this one. Thompson rarely plays back-to-backs, and this will be the Warriors’ second back-to-back this week. Thompson’s absence vacates 10.3 3-point attempts a game. Curry has played five games this season without Thompson and hit this over in three while averaging 5.2 3’s per game.

As luck would have it, 5.2 is exactly where Stokastic is projecting Curry tonight. On top of that, Curry made 6 of 11 in his one matchup with the Cavaliers this season (Nov. 11). At his 41.7% clip on 3’s this year, he only needs to take 10 3’s to surpass four makes, and he has only taken fewer than 10 five times all season. And he played less than 30 minutes in three of those five, whereas tonight he projects to play 33.9.

Update: Curry has been ruled out

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Sam Smith

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015 while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With OddsShopper, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with OddsShopper's data to bring you the best betting information possible.

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