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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Banchero less than 41.5 points + rebounds + assists is getting a 56% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -129, so this is a +EV play of 4% to tie for the top pick’em play of the slate.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks. That means, since Maxey less than 31.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage against True Odds of -128, the expected value on this play is positive by 3%.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks. However, today we have a slightly +EV play, as Sochan less than 3.5 assists has a huge 2.33x multiplier to mitigate a sub-50% win rate (+105 implied odds). With the True Odds of +104, the EV is a tick under 1%.
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