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Categories NCAAB

College Basketball Betting Picks and Odds: North Carolina State vs. Duke (February 28)

February 28, 2023 | 10:26 AM by Matt Gajewski
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March Madness is just around the corner and college basketball fans are starting to get excited for some of the most thrilling games of the year. As the regular season winds down, every game becomes more crucial for teams fighting to secure a spot in the tournament. In this article, we will highlight some of the top games to watch on Tuesday, Feb. 28 and offer expert analysis from OddsShopper’s team to help you make informed and strategic betting decisions for tonight’s matchups.

College Basketball Betting Picks & Odds | Feb. 28

College Basketball Odds: Buffalo (-4.5) vs. Northern Illinois

As conference tournaments and the NCAA tournament begin, access to information reigns king in betting markets. With sportsbooks opening this game Buffalo -1, OddsShopper’s Insider Access Discord found the Bulls as a value due to injury on the Northern Illinois side. The Huskies now have Keshawn Williams, David Coit, Xavier Amos and Zion Russell all injured. With these players ranging from role player to best on the team, it makes sense that Buffalo is taking money.

Aside from the injuries, Buffalo also has some stylistic advantages. The Bulls rank 118th in effective height, while Northern Illinois is 188th. While that may seem close, Buffalo is 141st in rebounding, and Northern Illinois checks in at 323rd. That gives Buffalo some value here.

College Basketball Expert Betting Pick: Buffalo -4.5 (-105) at BetMGM

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College Basketball Odds: North Carolina State vs. Duke (-6.5)

This was another value at -4, but Duke has soared all the way to -6.5 in betting markets. Duke lost the first matchup 84-60, committing 21 turnovers. However, North Carolina State looks likely to miss Jack Clark again here, leaving Duke with a massive advantage inside.

Duke has multiple players over 6-foot-7, including Kyle Filipowski, Dereck Lively, Ryan Young, Dariq Whitehead and Mark Mitchell. This plethora of size makes the Blue Devils very difficult to defend, and the Clark injury only exacerbates this problem. That extends further when combined with North Carolina State’s propensity to commit fouls and Duke’s ability to generate them. As long as Duke can take care of the ball on offense, this should be a solid spot for the Blue Devils at home.

College Basketball Expert Betting Pick: Duke -6.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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College Basketball Odds: Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss O/U 136.5

In the only matchup between these teams this season, Texas A&M will look to improve its March Madness standings, while Ole Miss will play for pride. Regardless, this projects to be one of the slower games on the board, making the under an interesting play.

Both of these teams play significantly below average in terms of pace. Since Feb. 1, Texas A&M ranks 316th in adjusted tempo, while Ole Miss is 189th. Both of these teams play decent defense too. Texas A&M ranks 69th in defensive efficiency, and Ole Miss is 146th. With a slow projected pace and solid defensive play on both sides, the under is the play here.

College Basketball Expert Betting Pick: Under 136.5 (-115) at BetMGM

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