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Categories NCAAB

Market Tracking Model Leaning to the Under in Villanova-Creighton (March 9)

March 09, 2023 | 6:26 PM by Adam Peri
Finding the best Villanova-Creighton bet according to our sports betting model that tracks gambling markets across the industry (March 9)

The Big East Conference tournament has tipped off in style. The 10th seeded DePaul Blue Demons narrowly beat Seton Hall 66-65. That was followed by an exciting second round matchup today in which the top overall seeded Marquette Golden Eagles just snuck past St. Johns 72-70. The excitement shouldn’t end there, as the Big East tournament features two more games later tonight. The OddsShopper tools are on it, and our market based sports betting model has identified the best college basketball bet in Villanova-Creighton.

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Best Villanova-Creighton Bet: Market Tracking Model Leaning to the Under

OddsShopper’s Premium betting tool analyzes every sports betting market to find the sharpest bet on every line. Pitting all the books’ pricing against each other, it’s able to derive the best value bets on a nightly basis. That’s in invaluable tool during the college basketball post season as new bettors flock to the market and sportsbooks work even harder to find the most efficient pricing.

The under 135.5 is popping out for tonight’s Villanova-Creighton matchup. The line can be had at -110 at Caesars Sportsbook. According to the model, that offers bettors a 4% expected ROI at a win-rate of 54%. Those margins are thin, but bettors that follow the recommended bet sizing can expect to see long-term growth with limited risk by betting around 2.5% of their bankroll.

Villanova and Creighton finished in the middle of the pack in the Big East in points scored per game. Creighton ranked sixth in the conference with 76.8 points a game compared to Villanova who ranked eighth, scoring an average of 69.8 per contest.

Those numbers suggest that the market may be off, as does our model. Not to mention, both teams have a lot to play for. Creighton is likely to reach the field of 68 according to the latest predictions. Villanova has more to play for, and could be pushing the tempo as they try to take the underdog path through the Big East and earn the conference’s automatic bid.

Villanova-Creighton is sure to be exciting. It is certain to be if you can get sharp action on the side or total. That can be said throughout the college basketball postseason. Bettors looking for more of the best OddsShopper Premium college basketball plays can benefit from a free seven-day trial currently being offered!

Best Villanova-Creighton Bet: Under 135.5 Points (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)

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