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Week 18 NFL Player Props: 4 Contract Incentives & Milestones Create Betting Value

Bettors can find some extra value in the Week 18 NFL player prop markets by digging into contract incentives and player milestones. Patrick Mahomes and Christian Kirk can break records or make millions with strong performances Sunday. Below are four of the top incentives and milestones that every NFL prop bettor must know before Week 18 kicks off.

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Week 18 NFL Player Props: Incentives Creating Four Opportunities

Patrick Mahomes Can Break the Single-Season Passing Yards Record

The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback has a chance to set the single-season passing yards record against the Las Vegas Raiders on Saturday. He needs 430 yards to surpass Peyton Manning’s record of 5,477, set in 2013.

Although Mahomes must have a monster game to achieve this milestone, one would imagine that some of his teammates — and coach Andy Reid — will do what they can to give the MVP front-runner a shot at the accolade. Mahomes’ passing yards prop currently sits at only 290.5 yards on DraftKings.

Justin Jefferson Can Break the Single-Season Receiving Yards Record

The Minnesota Vikings and Justin Jefferson can also make some history this weekend. If Jefferson goes for at least 194 receiving yards against the Chicago Bears, he’ll break Calvin Johnson’s single-season record of 1,964, set in 2012. If Jefferson falls short, his awful Week 17 performance against the Green Bay Packers will stand out that much more. Jefferson caught just one pass for 15 yards last Sunday.

Fortunately, anything is possible against Chicago’s dismal defense. Jefferson torched the Bears for 154 yards in their first game, although he benefited from playing indoors and the support of a home crowd. DraftKings is currently offering a promo on Jefferson to break the record with odds of +650.

Christian Kirk Can Make an Extra Million

He might not set a record, but the Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver can bring home some extra cash Saturday. Although the Jaguars took heat in the offseason for signing him to a four-year, $72 million contract, Kirk has looked great in his first year with Trevor Lawrence. He can add an extra $500,000 with two more catches and another $500,000 with 91 more receiving yards.

BetMGM has set Kirk’s Week 18 NFL player prop for receiving yards at 54.5. That means bettors can cash in even if Kirk cannot. Kirk will face a vulnerable Tennessee Titans secondary in a battle that will determine the AFC South winner.

Zay Jones Can Pocket $750,000 With Strong Showing

Another Jacksonville Jaguars wideout can bag some extra cash on Sunday. Zay Jones stands to make an additional $250,000 with two more catches and another $500,000 with 98 more receiving yards. Like Kirk, he’ll benefit from a dismal Titans defense that ranks 28th in pass defense. DraftKings has set Jones’ receiving prop total at only 47.5 yards.

Be sure to use OddsShopper’s tools to get the best odds on these Week 18 NFL player props. Additionally, DraftKings Sportsbook has an amazing offer for new users: bettors who place a $5 wager on any team’s moneyline will receive $200 in free bets!

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