The Jacksonville Jaguars barely made the playoffs. They’ll now get to host the Los Angeles Chargers in Duval County. The Chargers are 2.5-point favorites for this evening’s action despite the absence of wide receiver Mike Williams. Bettors should target this Chargers-Jaguars NFL player prop for Saturday’s action — too much value remains on the player prop markets for Travis Etienne. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Chargers-Jaguars NFL Player Prop | Travis Etienne
Travis Etienne Prop O/U 76.5 Rushing Yards
Don’t let the matchup fool you: even though the Los Angeles Chargers are favored over the Jacksonville Jaguars, Travis Etienne should get plenty of work on the ground. The Chargers have struggled against the run all year. Their defense ranks 29th in expected points added (EPA) per rush attempt (0.04) and 31st in rushing yards allowed per game to running backs (127.3). LA’s defensive front ranks 29th in average line yards and 23rd in run-stop win rate.
The Chargers’ inability to defend the run has shown up in recent box scores. Latavius Murray ran for 103 yards on 15 carries last week. Cam Akers picked up 123 yards on 19 carries the week before. Zack Moss scampered for only 65 yards but did so on 12 carries in Week 16. Derrick Henry picked up 104 yards on 21 carries as well. Opposing offenses have produced a 100-yard rusher in six of LA’s last eight games.
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The game script expected by sportsbooks may hurt Etienne, but the Chargers have allowed tons of rushing yards even in wins. Further, the Jaguars dismantled the Chargers on the road in September behind a run-heavy attack. Then-starter James Robinson picked up 100 yards on 17 carries. Etienne scampered for only 45 yards on 13 carries, but most of his touches came late and after the Jaguars had built a two-score lead.
Bettors can secure the best deal on this NFL player prop at BetMGM — although a teased-up prop at FanDuel also has value. Some books have this prop total as high as 78.5, and most others have the juice well above BetMGM’s price of -115. New users at BetMGM can even secure $200 if any team scores a touchdown during the NFL playoffs. Tease this play up to 100+ rushing yards at FanDuel for odds of +225!
Best NFL Chargers-Jaguars Player Prop: Travis Etienne Over 76.5 Rushing Yards (-115 for 0.58 Unit) at BetMGM
Best NFL Chargers-Jaguars Ladder Prop: Travis Etienne 100+ Rushing Yards (+225 for 0.25 Unit) at FanDuel
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