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Categories NFL

Best Giants-Eagles Player Prop: Will Daniel Jones Toss Dimes?

January 21, 2023 | 10:07 AM by Isaiah Sirois
Our experts dish out their NFL preseason picks and predictions for Week 3, including one bet for the Rams-Texans game...

The New York Giants scored an impressive upset win over the Minnesota Vikings last weekend. They earned the right to a third matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles with the victory. NFL bettors eager to get some exposure to this game should target the below Giants-Eagles player prop. The books have left too much value on the player prop markets for Daniel Jones. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

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Best Giants-Eagles NFL Player Prop | Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Prop O/U 214.5 Passing Yards

The Philadelphia Eagles own the NFL’s best pass defense by expected points added (EPA) per play. At -0.09 EPA per play, the Eagles slot in 1.5 standard deviations better than the NFL average (0.03). They also rank first in net passing yards allowed per game (179.8) and yards allowed per pass attempt (5.5). Their defense ranks second in passing yards allowed per game (207) when excluding sack yardage.

Only four quarterbacks eclipsed the 215 passing yards mark against the Eagles this year: Jared Goff (215, Week 1), Kirk Cousins (221, Week 2), Kyler Murray (250, Week 5) and Dak Prescott (347, Week 16). Daniel Jones threw for only 169 yards before getting pulled in Week 14. He did not play in New York’s Week 18 finale against Philadelphia.

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Philadelphia’s strong pass defense stems from an ability to generate pressure. The Eagles rank second in pressure percentage (25.5%) and lead the league in both sacks (70) and pass-rush win rate (52%). That poses a tough challenge for New York. The Giants rank 29th in pass-block win rate (52%) and start four offensive linemen with PFF grades of 65 or below. Two own grades below 60: center Jon Feliciano (57.7) and right tackle Evan Neal (44).

Jones threw for only 169 yards against the Eagles in Week 14. He took four sacks for a loss of 17 yards and faced pressure on 30.3% of his dropbacks. The sportsbooks have set his passing yardage prop a touch too high for this matchup — especially since Jones has thrown for 215-plus yards only five times this season. Bettors can find the best price for the under at FanDuel Sportsbook, where it sits at -110. New users at FanDuel can even get $150 in bonus bets just by placing a $5 wager! New users in Ohio can secure $200 with the same $5 wager.

Best NFL Giants-Eagles Player Prop: Daniel Jones Under 214.5 Passing Yards (-110) at FanDuel

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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