Skip to content
logo
Search Icon
​
Log InSign Up
Top Bets
Top Bets
My Bets
My Bets
Portfolio Lab
Portfolio Lab
Help
Help
Categories NFL

5 NFL Picks in 5 Minutes: Is Trevor Lawrence a Safer Volume Bet Than the NFL MVP?

January 20, 2023 | 6:20 PM by Eytan Shander

Eytan Shander takes just five minutes to give you the five best NFL picks for the Divisional Round. Hop in with him and build your bank roll using OddsShopper betting tools.

One of Eytan’s favorite picks for the Divisional Round is a head-to-head on yards passing between Trevor Lawrence and Patrick Mahomes.

The legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Best NFL Bets | Divisional Round

“I think that Trevor Lawrence is gonna be throwing a lot, and there’s a really good pathway here for Patrick Mahomes, the Kansas City Chiefs to win, to cover, even blow out the Jacksonville Jaguars to where the Jaguars are imploding or the Chiefs just aren’t doing this with big play after big play. They are moving the football down the field methodically. We’ve seen shorter passes, quick gets to Jerick McKinnon, and they haven’t been up a ton in which they can kind of exhale.”

So Eytan is playing the head-to-head here between Mahomes and Lawrence, and he thinks the game script favors the Jacksonville quarterback.

If you like Eytan’s NFL picks for tonight, or if you want to go another direction, make sure you’re utilizing OddsShopper betting tools, as that is the only way to be absolutely certain you are getting the best value possible on all of your NFL bets.

More NFL Betting Tools

OddsShopper NFL Betting

Head over to OddsShopper and check out all of the top NFL game lines, player props, team futures and player futures! OddsShopper shops all the best odds from the top sportsbooks, like DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet, and Caesars and finds you the best odds, expected win rates and returns on investment across the industry. Sign up now — it is absolutely FREE!

The legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Stokastic NFL Player Props Tool

Betting NFL player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today. Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds, and there are so many that they can’t get them all right. The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser-skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets. That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.

The expected win probability is determined by comparing the Stokastic simulations against these prop lines to give you the probability that each bet will win and the long-term ROI you should expect on similar bets. These ROI’s are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentage of your bankroll you should wager on each bet since some high ROI bets may be long shots – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.

Stokastic NFL DFS Tools

NFL DFS Single-Game Projections

These comprehensive projections calculate each player on the NFL slate and factor in all stats, projected playing time, opportunity, etc. to determine total fantasy points for DraftKings and FanDuel. These projections are uploaded morning of the single-game slate and continuously updated throughout the day as news and information is released. Like with all of Stokastic’s industry-leading projections, you can utilize them when making your NFL DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings fantasy football lineups.

The legal gambling age is 21 in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Categories NFL
Super Bowl MVP Odds: Star Quarterbacks Top the Board
Divisional Round NFL Best Bets, Picks & Predictions: ​Can the Chiefs Avoid Another Letdown?
Eytan Shander

Author

Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

Next Story

MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites

Trending & Related

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the Super Bowl

Super Bowl Best Bets: Lindy’s NFL Leans, Likes & Locks

Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Best Bets for Super Bowl LIX

Betting 101

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer

What is Flex Friday with PrizePicks?

What is Taco Tuesday with PrizePicks?

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
July 7, 2025 8:29 am | Dave Loughran
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 23, 2025 7:47 am | Sam Smith
What is a Futures Bet? How to Make Money Betting on Futures
June 20, 2025 9:41 am | Isaiah Sirois
US Open Odds, Picks & Betting Predictions (2025)
June 11, 2025 9:44 am | Ben Rasa
EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm | Sam Smith
How Bettors Used Portfolio EV to Beat the Books in May
June 1, 2025 12:56 pm | Sam Smith

Related Articles

Why Smart Bettors Are Growing Their NFL Bankroll Now
July 4, 2025 9:08 am | Sam Smith
Same Game Parlays: How to Beat the Sportsbooks at Their Own Game
June 15, 2025 10:51 am | Dave Loughran
Avoid These 5 NFL Betting Pitfalls & Mistakes to Maximize Your ROI This Season
June 12, 2025 3:44 pm | Sam Smith
Positive EV NFL Parlays: How to Build +EV NFL Parlay Bets
June 12, 2025 3:44 pm | Sam Smith
NFL Betting Help: Make Adjustments to Keep (or Start!) Winning
June 12, 2025 3:44 pm | Sam Smith
How to Beat the NFL Betting Market: Key Lessons for New Bettors
June 12, 2025 3:43 pm | Sam Smith

Best Betting Forum on the Internet? OddsShopper’s Discord Delivers
July 9, 2025 8:34 am
Best NRFI Bets Today: Winning Strategy for First Inning Betting
July 9, 2025 8:09 am
What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting
July 9, 2025 8:09 am
PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today: How to Use a PrizePicks Optimizer
July 9, 2025 8:09 am
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
July 9, 2025 7:53 am
Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code Today
July 9, 2025 6:56 am
Best DraftKings Promo Code Today
July 9, 2025 6:56 am
Best DraftKings Pick6 Promo Code Today
July 9, 2025 6:56 am
Best FanDuel Promo Code Today
July 9, 2025 6:56 am
Best Fanatics Promo Code Today
July 9, 2025 6:56 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are incredible sportsbook bonus codes and DFS app promo codes that are expressly designed to help new players get started building a bankroll. As a new player, it's often correct to focus on taking advantage of as many of these offers as you can. Even better, having access to more books lets you take advantage of line shopping so that you can always get the best payout for your winning bets. Books like BetMGM and bet365 have great first-bet offers for new players. On the DFS App side, operators like Underdog and Sleeper offer matches on your first deposit up to a certain amount. Use the links below to explore the best sportsbook promo codes. Once you get signed up with a bonus, make sure to use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Best BetMGM Bonus Code

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Promo Code

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Best FanDuel Promo Code

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Best PrizePicks Promo Code

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Best UnderDog Fantasy Promo Code

Get a promo code for UnderDog

Join the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes
  • About Us

    • Contact Us
    • Terms of Use
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.