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Categories NFL

Chiefs-Chargers Player Prop: Best Patrick Mahomes Bet

Updated September 29, 2024 | 10:22 am CDT by Isaiah Sirois
Raiders-Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Bet for Friday (Nov. 29)

Looking for the best Chiefs-Chargers player prop for Sunday’s action? Our betting experts have you covered with this NFL expert pick. We’re locking in a Patrick Mahomes player prop bet for Chiefs-Chargers. If you need help finding sharp bets on your own, check out our NFL player prop betting strategy guide or the rest of our NFL Week 4 player props!

Chiefs-Chargers Player Prop: Best Patrick Mahomes Bet

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Chiefs-Chargers Player Prop: Best Patrick Mahomes Bet

Pick by Isaiah Sirois. Find all of Isaiah’s expert picks now by clicking here! Take 50% off your first week or month with code “TPI50”.

The Kansas City Chiefs will visit the injury-riddled Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. Even a quick look at the L.A. injury report is enough to get a picture of how bad things are for them — Justin Herbert, Joey Bosa, Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater are all out or questionable. Safety Derwin James is suspended, too.

Vegas anticipates a big win for the Chiefs. The spread for this one is all the way up at 7.5, which honestly might be a bit low given the state of this Chargers roster. That said, the possible blowout game script would limit the passing attempts for Patrick Mahomes, even if he can play more efficiently than usual against this defense.

But even with the injuries, I have plenty of faith in the Chargers’ ability to limit Mahomes’ passing production. Defense coordinator Jesse Minter’s unit ranks seventh in EPA allowed per dropback and 10th in passing yards allowed per game when we filter out sack yardage (195.3).

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While the injuries will make replicating that success harder, the offense helps this defense out a lot. Los Angeles ranks dead last in seconds per play (33.2). Keeping the ball away from Mahomes will be crucial for this Chargers team in Week 4, and, if they can get the job done in that department, he’ll have even fewer pass attempts with which to be efficient.

Best NFL Week 4 Player Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes Under 253.5 Passing Yards -115 at BetMGM

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Isaiah Sirois

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Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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