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Categories NFL

The One Joe Burrow Prop You Should Take Ahead of Ravens vs. Bengals

January 15, 2023 | 5:17 PM by Benjy Sabitt
The Bengals-Chiefs betting line takes a sharp shift in one team's direction less than 24 hours after the AFC Championship rematch was set

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow takes center stage when they welcome the Baltimore Ravens to Paycor Stadium for the first round of the NFL Playoffs. Bettors are keying on the Ravens-Bengals matchup, and there’s one Joe Burrow prop that provides value.

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Best Joe Burrow Prop for Ravens-Bengals

Stokastic’s NFL Player Prop tool uses OddsShopper Tools to find the best value on the prop market. The tool has the under on the Joe Burrow passing yards prop (271.5 on DraftKings) as a top play for the Ravens-Bengals AFC Wild Card Round game. The tool has Burrow projected at 267 passing yards, giving the under a 56% chance of hitting. The expected ROI  of 5% makes it a relatively strong play. Additionally, Stokastic has under 1.5 touchdowns (+155 on BetMGM) as a value play. This bet has just a 43% expected win percentage, but the high odds give it an expected ROI of 10%, the highest of any Joe Burrow prop bet.

Burrow turned in another dominant season for the Bengals, finishing fifth in the NFL in passing yards (4,475), third in completion percentage (68.3%), and second in passing touchdowns (35). He had 279.7 passing yards per game but will face a Ravens defense that had success against him this season.

The Ravens allowed over 230 passing yards per game during the regular season, but Burrow threw for just 217 and 215 yards in his two AFC North games against them this season.

“They know what we try to do on offense, we know what they try to do on defense,” Burrow told Yahoo Sports. “So they try to take away our bread-and-butter stuff, and they’re pretty good at it.”

Baltimore will likely use both Tyler Huntley and Anthony Brown at quarterback with Lamar Jackson out again with a knee injury. Brown completed 19 of 44 passes for 286 yards an two interceptions in the 27-16 loss to the Bengals in Week 18. Per DraftKings, the Ravens are 8.5-point underdogs against the Bengals. They’ll be hoping to hold Joe Burrow in check for any shot of pulling off the massive upset.

Best Joe Burrow Prop For Ravens-Bengals: UNDER 271.5 Passing Yards

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