Let’s dive into the top player prop angles from the NHL’s three-game Monday slate. For more of the best NHL bets, be sure to check out the OddsShopper tool.
Tonight’s NHL Player Props | November 7
Mathew Barzal To Score Anytime +280:
Barzal has not yet tallied a single goal this season, which is completely shocking considering how many high-quality chances he has generated to this point. Barzal is a pass-first-minded player, but still holds strong finishing ability and has put 2.66 shots on goal per game.
The quality of those shots has been high and will rarely burn the play with pointless shots on net, which is why Barzal’s personal expected goals rating is high. His missed chances add up to -3.8 goals scored above the expected rating. Considering how talented of a shooter he is, that mark is highly unsustainable.
The Flames also offer a far better matchup than most might expect. Calgary has allowed a 21st-ranked xGA/60 rating of 3.45 this season and a mark of 3.30 goals against per game, the 12th-highest in the league. Those poor defensive numbers may improve moving forward, but as long as Chris Tanev, Michael Stone, and Oliver Kylington remain out of the lineup, the struggles will likely continue for the time being.
Ryan O’Reilly Over 0.5 Points +120:
St. Louis has struggled mightily entering this tough matchup with the Bruins, having lost six consecutive matchups with a goal differential of -20. Their ability to suppress the opposition offensively may simply be a consistent problem all season long, but offensively the Blues are going to trend upward over a larger sample.
Blues Captain Ryan O’Reilly‘s awful early play has been a significant reason why, as he has looked off at both ends of the ice and generated just a single point throughout nine games. That mark is so far below the kind of production O’Reilly has demonstrated over his entire career, however, that presuming he will produce anywhere near his previous rate now makes this a great buy-low opportunity betting-wise.
St. Louis has scored on just 7.95% of shots taken this season, yet actually projects as a team likely to outscore their expected goal rates if anything moving forward, as they have in each of the last three seasons.
O’Reilly has proven to be a consistent leader and is exactly the type of player who has traditionally shown up for St. Louis when the going gets tough. He is still skating top-line and second power play roles, and +120 is too long of a number with that considered.
Zach Hyman Over 3.5 Shots on Goal -110:
Hyman has hit this number in seven consecutive games and has averaged five shots on goal during that time.
The greatest key to Hyman’s absurd recent run of attempts on goal is playing with Connor McDavid on both the top line and top powerplay unit. As long as Hyman is holding down those spots in the lineup, -110 is an excellent price for him to manage four shots on goal.
