It’s closer than you think. Preseason is kicking up, and you need a PrizePicks NFL cheat sheet that actually helps you win today. Here we’re targeting season-long plays, and even in these markets, understanding expected value (EV) is the key to long-term profit. In this guide, we break down the best ways to find +EV PrizePicks season entries, highlight the sharpest current picks for the 2025 season and show you where to find PrizePicks cheat sheet today free.
👉 Check Out the FREE Expert Picks »
The Free Picks on Tails are your shortcuts to smarter bets … no signup, no strings. Here you will find a bunch of FREE expert picks, updated daily.
PrizePicks NFL Cheat Sheet Today: Free NFL SZN Picks
A real PrizePicks cheat sheet should do more than list random projections. It should give you data-backed picks based on data and market discrepancies, especially for NFL SZN entries where every edge counts.
The goal is simple: Find plays with a 60%-plus chance of hitting. That’s how you beat PrizePicks’ fixed-payout structure:
- 2-pick Power Play: break even at ~57.7%
- 6-pick Flex Play: break even at ~54%
How to Build a PrizePicks NFL Cheat Sheet (That Actually Wins)
Here’s how sharp players find value:
Compare to Projections
Use trusted sources if you are using a projection-based system. If a player is projected for 1,300 yards and PrizePicks lists 950.5, that’s an edge.
Check Sportsbook Markets
PrizePicks doesn’t adjust their implied odds of -118, so if FanDuel posts a lower number or heavily favors one side, it’s a red flag that you can exploit.
Analyze Context
Aging players, crowded depth charts or injury-prone starters all impact EV. Season-long “less” plays often offer value thanks to the natural volatility of the NFL.
PrizePicks NFL Cheat Sheet Today: 2025 +EV Picks
Here are today’s best PrizePicks NFL SZN plays based on projections and expected value:
| Player – Stat | Projection | Pick | Why It’s +EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers – INTs | 8.5 | Less | Historically low interception rate, on top of the injury potential. |
| Tua Tagovailoa – Pass Yards | 3,549.5 | Less | Market line lower, and under favored at sportsbooks. |
| Josh Allen – Pass TDs | 27.5 | More | Has hit 28+ in five straight seasons. |
| Malik Nabers – Rec Yards | 1,149.5 | More | Massive target share, potentially improved QB situation. |
| Keon Coleman – Rec Yards | 749.5 | Less | Crowded WR room in Buffalo, PrizePicks projection dropping. |
These picks are built on the same principles used by profitable players: Market edges and lineup context.
How to Use This PrizePicks NFL Cheat Sheet Today
- Start with “less than” plays. Injuries and usage volatility make mores risky.
- Focus on line differences. Massive gaps between PrizePicks and sportsbooks usually equal value.
- Watch for market movement. The best plays don’t last long.
Where to Find PrizePicks Cheat Sheet Today Free
Want picks like these delivered without doing the research yourself?
Head to the Tails Free Picks page, a curated feed of free picks from sharp, data-driven players. You’ll find NFL SZN plays, MLB picks and more, updated daily and always free.
Expand your bankroll and boost long-term profitability with Portfolio EV. Discover more +EV bets with a FREE TRIAL — visit our Portfolio Betting page today!
