April has been a rollercoaster for sports bettors, and OddsShopper’s own Greg Ehrenberg recently hosted a live Q&A in the Portfolio EV Betting Discord community to help users troubleshoot, strategize and regain confidence during a tough stretch. Below is a collection of the most insightful questions asked during the session, along with Greg’s direct responses.
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What should new users know when setting up their own Portfolio EV betting portfolios?
“Start small and try to get as much volume as you can per bet. Many users set their bankroll to one-third of their actual bankroll so they can increase volume without overexposing themselves.”
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How far in advance should you bet NBA playoff games?
“As far in advance as I can. The playoffs are generally stable. You just get unlucky sometimes, like the Brandin Podziemski situation. I typically don’t worry too much about injury news unless it just broke.”
What’s your criteria for building MLB portfolios?
“I use last year’s HROI data. For strikeouts, I bet anything with an OS Rating over 2. For hits or total bases, I set the minimum OS Rating to 5.”
How do you select which bets to post on Twitter threads?
“I randomly sample 20 to 40 bets out of the 300-plus I place daily. I try to mix them by book, market, and OS rating.”
What do you do when recommended bet sizes are too high for your bankroll?
“Consider using a lower ‘actual’ bankroll number in the tool — like one-third of your real bankroll — to get more bets down at sustainable sizes.”
Do you reuse lines at different sportsbooks?
“Yes, I often bet the same or similar lines at multiple books due to limits. I’ll press the dropdown in Portfolio EV to see if it’s still +EV elsewhere.”
Do you bet the same prop at multiple books if it’s +EV across them?
“Yes, wherever I can — mostly because of limits. If I could get everything down at one book, I would.”
Are you using different settings for exchanges like Novig or Prophet?
“Not yet, but I plan to avoid high-liquidity bets once I do. $1,000-plus in liquidity is a good rough threshold for ‘high’.”
Do you wait on player props when key players are questionable?
“Usually no — except in specific cases like Jayson Tatum. Boston’s injury news is tough to predict, and the market doesn’t always adjust properly.”
How many bets are you placing daily?
“As many as I can. Some days it’s 300-plus, other days fewer — depends on slate size and number of good edges available.”
How has your April been?
“It’s been my worst month of the year. NBA has been neutral, NHL has been rough, but MLB has been great. I haven’t changed anything. Swings happen.”
Do you factor in line movement or compare to sharp books?
“No sharp book comparison. I don’t want to overthink it and reduce my overall volume. I’ll look at line movement after big news drops, just to confirm things have settled.”
Any Same-Game Parlay strategies?
“I don’t use a fixed strategy, but I’ll build SGPs manually when I have an edge — like Podziemski last night, when I built one with all his unders.”
Do you play live MLB EV bets?
“No, I don’t use live EVs heavily. I mostly use the Live Odds page to compare futures or shop lines.”
What’s the difference between sorting by edge vs. EV in the tools?
“I don’t use the Live Odds much, but if you’re profiting off home run props from it, keep doing it! Just don’t expect unlimited volume.”
Final Thoughts from Greg
“I know downswings are tough — even for experienced bettors. I go into every season knowing there will be hot and cold streaks. If you keep your volume high and process sharp, you’ll come out ahead in the long run.”
