The Arizona Diamondbacks have the best record in the National League. Yes, you read that correctly. After winning yesterday against the Braves, the D’Backs extended their winning streak to six games. Can they keep it going against arguably the best pitcher in baseball in Spencer Strider? We’ll soon find out. Let’s dive into our top Braves-Diamondbacks bet.
Braves-Diamondbacks Bet: Ryne Nelson
If you haven’t heard the name, Ryne Nelson, don’t be ashamed. The 25-year-old is in his second season in the big leagues and it hasn’t been memorable. His bottom of the league K rate and 5.37 ERA will have Braves hitters feasting come Saturday night. They were torn to shreds by Merrill Kelly who pitched seven innings, allowed two runs, and struck out eight batters. Luckily for us, Nelson is not Kelly.
We’re keying in on Nelson’s outs line. The under of 15.5 is set at -120 on DraftKings Sportsbook and -125 on BetMGM. Nelson has failed to reach the sixth inning in five of his six home starts and seven of 11 on the season. Tonight, he’ll be behind the Arizona faithful where he has struggled. We dove into his low hit rate but his ERA skyrockets to 6.75 at home while the Braves can raise his pitch count with their 3.95 pitches per at bat that ranks top 10 in the MLB.
The Braves’ fierce lineup that features Ronald Acuna Jr. and his .322 batting average against right-handed pitching at the top of the lineup is going to have Nelson problems all night long or in our case, the first two times through the order.
Best Braves-Diamondbacks Bet: Ryne Nelson Under 15.5 Outs (-120, DraftKings)