We’re giving away a free, profitable MLB home run betting portfolio built using Portfolio EV — our powerful, data-driven tool that identifies +EV (positive expected value) bets across major sportsbooks. This exact setup is perfect for finding the best home run bets today — and you can copy it right now with just one click. Whether you’re learning how to bet on home runs or just want to scale your betting with data, this portfolio is a perfect starting point.
Find the Best Home Run Bets Today: Free Portfolio EV MLB HRs
Ditch the guesswork. Start making smarter, sharper +EV bets with a FREE TRIAL of Portfolio EV. Visit the Portfolio Betting page now!
In Summary
- This article provides a free MLB home run betting portfolio powered by Portfolio EV
- It helps users find the best home run bets today using a data-driven, +EV approach
- Portfolio produces approximately 4 +EV home run bets per day with a 9.88% historical ROI
- This setup is ideal for users who want to learn how to bet on home runs profitably
- All bets are based on mathematical edge, not opinions
- Great for scaling longshot home run bets into long-term value
- Prospective users can start a free trial of Portfolio EV to access the same setup
Home run props are volatile, yes — but also undervalued. Sportsbooks often misprice longshot markets like these, which creates opportunities for smart bettors. When you have a model that can assess fair value across books, and you’re disciplined about volume and edge, home run betting becomes a sneaky-strong +EV play.
But instead of guessing which slugger might go yard tonight, let’s put some structure behind it.
Free Home Run Betting Portfolio Settings
Here’s the exact Portfolio Lab setup that’s spitting out a daily stream of valuable HR bets:
- Sports: MLB
- Bet Type: Home Run Props
- Sportsbooks: BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics
- OS Rating: 2+
- All Other Settings: Default
- hROI Filter: None (don’t filter anything else out — some of these are valuable)
Estimated Volume: ~4 home run bets per day
Historical ROI (hROI): 9.88%
You can input these settings manually, or CLICK HERE to have them loaded up automatically.
How Portfolio EV Finds +EV Home Run Bets
Home run betting markets are some of the most mispriced on the board — and that’s exactly what makes them so profitable for bettors who use Portfolio EV.
Portfolio EV continuously scans odds from major sportsbooks and compares them to our proprietary model — known as the “true odds.” These represent the fair price for a bet, calculated using player data, historical outcomes, projections and market movement.
When a sportsbook posts a line that’s higher than our true odds for a player to hit a home run, that discrepancy creates positive expected value. Portfolio EV flags these mispriced lines and estimates their ROI to help you separate the noise from the true edges.
For example:
- If a book offers Aaron Judge to hit a HR at +400 but Portfolio EV calculates the true odds should be +330, that bet is +EV.
- Over time, consistently placing +EV wagers like this leads to long-term profit, even if individual bets are volatile.
This system removes the guesswork. You’re not picking home run bets based on feel; you’re placing them based on mathematical edge.
The Theory Behind +EV Home Run Betting
Betting on home runs is often dismissed as “lottery ticket” gambling — but that’s only true when you’re chasing longshots without understanding the value.
EV measures how profitable a bet is, based on the true probability of it hitting versus the odds you’re getting.
In most betting markets, sportsbooks tighten their lines and juice the vig, making it hard to win. But in home run markets, pricing errors are more common because:
- HR props are inherently volatile
- Sportsbooks limit action and don’t sharpen the lines as aggressively
- Public bettors overbet stars or recency bias, skewing odds
This creates pricing inefficiencies — and that’s where Portfolio EV thrives. By tracking these inefficiencies across multiple books in real time, the system finds where you’re getting the best price relative to true odds.
Betting one home run prop doesn’t make you profitable, but consistently betting dozens or hundreds of +EV home run props over time where the edge is in your favor can lead to compounding returns.
Portfolio EV helps you act like the book, not the bettor.
