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Categories MLB

Best MLB Promo Today: Brutal Pitching Matchup in Texas a Great Target for Up 2 Runs Promo

June 12, 2023 | 2:54 PM by Eytan Shander
Best MLB Strikeout Props for Thursday, Aug. 8

The most important thing to remember when betting any early-win ticket is, when all else fails, that side can still win the game. There was no need for Boston to get up by two runs last night — they cashed the ticket the old-fashioned way. It’s a shorter slate on Monday night, but not without some value in the early-win neighborhood. The target today is a juicy road dog who can take full advantage of the best MLB promo today in two of the first three innings. Let’s crush another Up 2 Runs ticket — hopefully a little earlier this time.

Explaining Up 2 Runs Promo

It is a simple premise: You bet on a team’s moneyline, and if they are up by two runs at any point in the game, the ticket cashes. All we need to do is identify a dog that also has a realistic chance of winning the game — the latter part still being a thing, as if your team does not get up by two, the ticket is still live.

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There are a few areas to target in identifying the best team to bet for this promo; the two most important being home dogs and weak pitching. Getting ahead early is the name of the game, so trying to find that sweet spot of plus money at home and early offense is the goal!

Best MLB Promo Today – Best Up 2 Runs Bet

While the Phillies are a great choice for this play tonight, especially with a controlling pitcher like Matt Strahm on the hill, the focus instead shifts to the Angels. Los Angeles is a +135 dog in Texas despite a fairly equal balance of blah in the pitching matchup. Neither team has any true advantage because neither team is providing any true threat. Dane Dunning and Tyler Anderson are keeping their heads above water just to stay mediocre, as both are struggling in strikeout rates and opposing batting average. This should open up scoring chances for each team, but the promo favors a road team just getting up — not holding any lead in the bottom half.

The Angels average nearly the same runs per first inning as their opponent. While the Rangers outscore Los Angeles by a lot in second innings, the brutal pitching matchup should help mitigate the gap. That leaves the third inning, where Los Angeles is averaging 0.94 runs per third versus Texas’ 0.63 on average. To put it back in normal terms, the Angels should have viable chances to get up in two of the first three frames. That is worth a chance at cashing this ticket on the early side, especially since Los Angeles can ultimately win this game.

Best Up 2 Runs BET: Los Angeles Angels (+135, DraftKings)

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Eytan Shander

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Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

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