The Kansas City Royals are 5-17, which is the second worst record in Major League Baseball. They’re on a 1-8 downslide, a stretch that includes being swept by the Atlanta Braves and Texas Rangers. And while there may not be much hope for the Royals overall, they’re team and players are being undervalued because of their recent implosion. That includes an MLB prop bet for Brad Keller‘s strikeout that is showing vale on the over in the Royals-Diamondbacks matchup.
OddsShopper’s market-based betting model finds the sharpest linemakers in every sport and bet type and compares that to the lowest odds prices in the industry. That allows users to identify highest ROI spots, like this Brad Keller MLB prop bet. Grab a 7-day trial of OddsShopper Premium to give it a try.
Best MLB Prop Bet in Royals-Diamondbacks: Brad Keller’s K Prop is Too Low (April 24)
Brad Keller is certainly no world beater, but the Royals starting pitcher is having a solid start to the 2023 season. He struggled the last two seasons to the tune of a 5:09 ERA in 2022 and a 5:39 ERA in 2023, but has managed to allow just three earned runs per nine innings in his four starts this year. That’s a small sample size, but if he can do enough to get five or six innings into this Royals-Diamondbacks game he should be able to register four or more strikeouts.
The most important thing is the odds of this happening are just too high for the price. OddsShopper’s model has this prop bet’s implied win odds at 54%. Taking that at -105 will give you about a 3% long-term ROI. It’s nothing huge, but it’s one of the highest expected value MLB prop bets left on the board as the slate’s lock approaches. You can risk about 2.25% of your bankroll on this bet if you’re looking for sustainable growth. Sure, it won’t make you rich, but it gives you more than enough edge to make it viable.
If you’re looking for more high ROI MLB betting spots, or the best bets in other sports, check out OddsShopper’s Premium Tool. And for MLB news and expert analysis you can head over to OddsShopper’s MLB page.
Best MLB Player Prop in Royals-Diamondbacks: Brad Keller Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-110, BetMGM)
