The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies finish off a 3-game series tomorrow at noon. It’s only May, but both team’s had high expectations early in the year and should be ready to do battle in this NL East matchup. Philadelphia is in a tough spot, looking to avoid the sweep in New York. The overnight odds are out as bettors look for value on tomorrow’s board. Let’s take a look at the current odds to find the sharpest Phillies-Mets MLB prediction and betting angle.
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Best MLB Phillies-Mets Bet & Prediction: Run Line Could be the Target
Phillies-Mets Odds
Odds via BetRivers Sportsbook
Phillies: +148 | Mets: -175
Over 8.5: -120 | Under 8.5: -103
The New York Mets are significant favorites over the Phillies as they look to sweep the series against their division rival. The first two games of the series were pitchers duels. The Mets won 2-0 in Game 1 behind a stellar 7 IP, 0 run outing from Kodai Senga. They then won 4-1 behind an outstanding performance by Carlos Carrasco. The lone run in the series for the Phillies cam off an Edmundo Sosa solo homer.
Max Scherzer takes the hill on Thursday looking to continue the Mets’ pitching dominance. The future hall of famer is rounding into form. He has allowed only two runs in his last three starts since struggling against the Detroit Tigers on May 3rd. Scherzer is 38-years old, but he is still a top arm and a scary sight for opposing offenses.
The Phillies will send out Taijuan Walker, who has struggled out of the gate this year. Walker has a 5.57 ERA, and 1.46 WHIP in eleven starts. He has had difficulty getting swings and misses, striking out 43 batters in 53.1 IP. These numbers are a huge disappointment for Walker and the Phillies after he went to the club as a big offseason acquisition. Ironically, his last club was the Mets, so he’ll hope to get revenge on his former team on Thursday.
It’s no surprise that the Mets are favorited to sweep the series. Scherzer’s elite career and current form compared to Walker’s poor start to 2023 have this lines at -172 in the Mets’ favor. However, the best value is currently on the Run Line. The OddsShopper market-based betting model uses the best books in every sport and bet type to figure out where the market is off. There’s a small, but worthwhile edge on the Mets -1.5 if you find the right price. The ROI is tight, just south of 1%, so don’t go too deep into your pockets. But you should be able to see sustainable growth in your betting bank roll if you lay a little under a percentage of it on this Phillies-Mets MLB bet.
Best Phillies-Mets MLB Bet: Mets -1.5 Runs (+130, BetRivers)
