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Categories MLB

Best Twins-Royals Player Prop: Byron Buxton Folds (July 30)

Updated July 30, 2023 | 11:50 am CDT by Justin Martin
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Byron Buxton is a household name due to his coming-out party in 2021 where he hit .306 and had a WAR of 4.5. But these past two seasons have been a struggle for the 29-year-old. He cannot seem to stay on the field, and even when he is healthy, he has not been effective. Buxton and his struggles headline our top MLB player prop bet for Twins-Royals.

Readers looking for all the best MLB bets, picks and predictions throughout the season should check out OddsShopper’s articles and market-based models, including our Parlay Builder! Now let’s look at the best MLB player prop today.

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Best MLB Player Prop: Byron Buxton | July 30

Byron Buxton Prop O/U 1.5 Total Bases

It has been sad to see the fall of Byron Buxton the last few seasons. He has not played in more than 100 games since 2017 due to lingering injuries. But even when he is in the lineup, he has not been the same. Buxton is hitting just .206 with a xBA of .214 this season, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the league. He is also striking out at a near career-high rate that also ranks in the bottom 10th percentile.

Buxton will face off against Royals lefty Ryan Yarbrough. Yarbrough will not blow anyone away with velocity or strikeout stuff, but he finds a way to get outs. He ranks in the top 5% of the MLB in hard-hit percentage and exit velocity. Both Yarbrough and Buxton uniquely have reverse splits this season. Buxton cannot seem to hit left-handed pitchers, as he has a .162 batting average and just seven extra-base hits. Meanwhile, Yarbrough is allowing right-handed batters to hit .263, compared to lefties hitting .275.

After a three-hit game yesterday and riding a three-game hit streak, Buxton has a line that usually has vig. Take advantage of a line that Buxton has hit in just 35% of games this season and two of his last 10.

Best Twins-Royals MLB Player Prop: Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Total Bases-110 (BetRivers)

Categories MLB
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Justin Martin

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Justin Martin

NBA, NFL, & MLB Player Prop Analyst. Twitter: JutPicks

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