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Categories NBA

Best Lakers-Pelicans Player Prop: Will Brandon Ingram Dominate? (February 4)

February 03, 2023 | 4:51 PM by Isaiah Sirois
Let's discuss the Lakers-Pelicans odds as we get into our advanced stats preview in hopes of finding a +EV Lakers-Pelicans pick....

The New Orleans Pelicans, still awaiting the return of star forward Zion Williamson, will host Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday evening. Trade rumors may swirl around Russell Westbrook, but as of publication, he is still a Laker. Bettors sniffing out the value plays for Saturday’s Lakers-Pelicans matchup should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left a bit too much value on the Brandon Ingram player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

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Best Lakers-Pelicans NBA Player Prop | Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram Prop O/U 22.5 Points

The Pelicans have asked Brandon Ingram to do a lot since his return. Over the last five games, Ingram’s usage rate (35%) ranks sixth among starters. That number beats out high-usage players like Jayson Tatum (33.3%), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7%) and Trae Young (32.4%). Although Ingram averaged only 19.3 points per game through that stretch, he played less than 30 minutes twice. He averaged a steady 22.3 points per 36 minutes.

Ingram should benefit from the matchup on Saturday. Although the scoring output hasn’t been there for him so far, three of his four games since returning came against slow-paced teams. That won’t be a problem here, as the Los Angeles Lakers play at the NBA’s second fastest pace and have allowed the fifth-most total points per game (118.1). Their defense also surrenders mid-range shots at the second-highest rate (45.4%), which is a part of the floor where Ingram thrives.

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Further, Ingram looked great against the Lakers last season. He played them three times, once at home and twice on the road, and averaged 24.7 points per game. He went over this number twice and scored 26 in the lone home matchup. As long as the Pelicans remain shorthanded, backing Ingram to produce solid numbers in the box score should yield a positive return.

Head to DraftKings Sportsbook for the best deal on this Brandon Ingram player prop. The number current number (22.5) is fair due to Ingram’s recent struggles, but the star forward should explode against this Lakers team. Let’s wager enough to profit a half unit. Readers yet to register at DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager! If you’re in Ohio, you’ll need to use this link to access that promotion instead.

Best NBA Lakers-Pelicans Player Prop: Brandon Ingram Over 22.5 Points (-125 for 0.62 Unit) at DraftKings

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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