Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today for Tuesday, March 19

The Timberwolves are playing the Denver Nuggets after stomping on the Utah Lazz last night, so we may not have certainty about who is playing until later in the afternoon. Gobert also missed Minnesota’s last game.

Bets like this one, over a large enough sample size, are enough to dramatically transform your bankroll. Over the last seven days, we’re cutting up the books for an 8.9% ROI, including a 16.5% ROI on one specific NBA player prop market.

Those results aren’t variance: from the start of the season to the All-Star Break, our model recorded an ROI of 8.6% on all NBA player prop bets wagered 12 hours before tip — and 5% on all props wagered two hours before tip.

If you haven’t signed up for OddsShopper Premium, you can do so for $1 this week with promo code “PURDUE”. A typical weekly subscription costs $14.95, so if you’ve ever wanted to try out our +EV betting tools, now’s the time.

Jalen Green Player Prop

The Houston Rockets will visit the Washington Wizards tonight. We cashed a Jalen Green points over when these teams met in Houston last week as he exploded for 37. However, Green is a much less efficient player on the road, and we’re fading him in this spot for that reason.

While Green’s volume has increased since the injury to Alperen Sengün, his road efficiency remains untested. In two road games without the center earlier in the season, Green averaged 21 points per game with shooting splits of 40/27/67 — not exactly what you’d want for a player with a point total trading up at 25.5.

The Wizards don’t do much well, but because they give up so many easy buckets at the rim, I suspect Green’s production from beyond the arc will dip. He shot 5-for-9 (55.6%) at home versus the Wizards last week on his way to 37, so if he regresses to his road shooting percentages and takes fewer 3’s, his scoring output would fall dramatically.

Anthony Edwards Player Prop

Let’s wrap this column up with another pick that I saw popping in the OddsShopper Premium model before locking it in. Anthony Edwards may have just recorded the dunk of the year, but he dislocated his finger in the process. The Timberwolves must now play again tonight.

It’s unclear whether Minnesota will hold Edwards out for this one due to the injury, but it’s worth noting that he did not exit Monday’s contest and kept right on scoring after suffering it. Still, he’ll likely pick up a questionable tag at best.

If Edwards suits up, I’m fading him in this spot versus the Denver Nuggets. Not only is this a great chance for us to take advantage of a public eager to back the emerging star, but it’s also a great one relative to the market. BetMGM lists Edwards at odds of -105 to stay under the 28.5, which is the best deal you’ll find anywhere on the board.