Bettors have a loaded eight-game NBA card to analyze tonight. Two games will appear on national television: the Bucks and Hawks will square off on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET, then the Suns and Nuggets will do battle at 10 p.m. ET. With six other games to research, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through the cracks, including one Aaron Gordon player prop tonight.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 11
Aaron Gordon Prop O/U 7.5 Rebounds
Perched atop the Western Conference, it seems like nothing can stop the Denver Nuggets. They’ll now face the shorthanded Phoenix Suns in Colorado as a 13-point favorite. Should the Nuggets run the Suns off the floor as expected, Aaron Gordon may not see enough usage to cash this NBA player prop. Gordon has averaged only 7.1 rebounds per game this year. However, he came down with 10 boards against the Lakers and another 10 against the Cavaliers.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is undeterred by Gordon’s recent and expects regression. The model projects him for only 6.2 rebounds tonight, which gives this play an expected win rate of 59%. Bettors eager to tail this play should head to FanDuel Sportsbook for the best odds. New users at FanDuel can even secure $150 in bonus bets following a $5 wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Aaron Gordon Under 7.5 Rebounds (-113) at FanDuel
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C.J. McCollum Prop O/U 5.5 Assists
The New Orleans Pelicans looked great until both Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram suffered injuries. They have struggled since then, and the sportsbooks list them as nearly double-digit underdogs against the Boston Celtics tonight. However, the NBA Bet Pro model still thinks betting value exists on a few of New Orleans’ player prop markets — especially those for Naji Marshall and C.J. McCollum.
McCollum has averaged 5.8 assists per game this year. He recorded only one in his last outing but had exactly six in his prior three games. McCollum should dish out 6.1 assists tonight, according to NBA Bet Pro, which gives this play an expected win rate of 48% — far better than the 45.5% chance implied by the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. Users who are new to DraftKings can earn $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager! New users in Ohio can access the same deal via this link.
Best NBA Player Prop: C.J. McCollum Over 5.5 Assists (+120) at DraftKings
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Jamal Murray Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
Although it might be smart to fade some of the Denver Nuggets on the NBA player prop markets, the over for this line has some value tonight. Jamal Murray is averaging 2.1 3-pointers per game this year on 38.1% shooting. He has nailed at least two 3-pointers in his last three games as well. Murray shot a whopping 5-for-11 from beyond the arc in Denver’s last game against Phoenix.
NBA Bet Pro projects Murray to nail 2.4 3-pointers against the Suns — almost a full triple better than the number available at PointsBet. Only 18 other NBA player props on tonight’s card have sEV (Stokastic’s proprietary EV determination) of 0.1% or better, and bettors curious about the top plays — including two with sEV of 0.4% or greater — should try a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jamal Murray Over 1.5 3-Pointers (-145) at PointsBet
