We have an eight-game slate tonight, with just one late game between the Rockets and Warriors in San Francisco. Three of these games have blowout potential with spreads of 8 points or higher, while Bucks-Wizards take home the cake for the highest total of 245.5. There are just four players listed questionable as of 10 a.m. ET, but we both know that is sure to change before tip-off. Picking the right projections can be a tough task, but with the help of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and some diligent research, we have you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player projections for Monday.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 20
Giannis Antetokounmpo M/L 29.5 Points
Antetokounmpo will get his Greek Freak on tonight in what has become the best matchup in the NBA for everyone it seems. The Bucks are favored by 9 points over the Wizards, and this game could blow out. If it does, Giannis will be a big reason. This is a similar matchup to the one he had against the Hornets when he scored 40 points in his last game. The Wizards rank 27th in opponent points in the paint and 29th in opponent offensive rebounds. Giannis averages 19.2 points in the paint, best in the NBA, and he’s had five games this season with two or more offensive rebounds. He’s going to clean up tonight against this poor Wizards defense and could get to 30 before the fourth quarter in a very favorable matchup.
Mike Conley M/L 5.5 Assists
Mike Conley and the Timberwolves are in pace-down spot against the Knicks, who are the slowest team in the NBA at just 96.7 possessions per game. This game has a low total of just 213, as both teams are top 5 in defensive rating. The Knicks allow the fourth-fewest assists per game at just 24.1.
Conley is averaging 5.1 assists per game, lower than this prop. His 8.1 potential assists are nothing to write home about, and his 13.1% usage rate is lower than Rudy Gobert‘s. With Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards controlling the ball more and more, Conley will get less tonight in a defensive battle.
Terance Mann M/L 8.5 Points
The Clippers are 8.5-point favorites against the Spurs tonight, and Terance Mann should get another start after Russell Westbrook requested to come off the bench. With this move and Norman Powell playing better as of late, Mann is back in full role-player mode. Playing alongside major usage guys like James Harden, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George doesn’t give him many opportunities to shoot. The Clippers’ last game was competitive, and Mann saw just 17 seconds in the fourth quarter, while Powell played all 12 minutes.
OddsShopper’s +EV Bets Tool says that Mann’s under on points has an OS rating of 14 and a 5% EV, both top 3 for today. Mann is averaging just 3.8 points per game.
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.