A new week is upon us, and we’re looking to start it off right with our NBA parlay picks today. I feel refreshed after a weekend of ice chips for dinner thanks to the NFL, and I’m ready to fire up this +585 Knicks-Timberwolves parlay for Monday.
Rudy Gobert o7.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
I’m not generally one to fire up a ton of Rudy Gobert points props, but when the fella has cashed the over on this number in seven of his last eight games, I’m gonna give it a look.
One thing that has surprised me has been his nearly six free-throw attempts per game. This is the third-highest number of free throws attempted per game, which is a big bonus when getting in on a points prop.
This is an alternate number, but the OddsShopper Prop Tool has his traditional points prop of 11.5 winning 50% of the time. We’re getting more expected win percentage on our side as the number is lower, so fire this up with confidence.
Rudy Gobert 10+ Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Now, this is what ol’ Rudy is known for. Snatching boards.
Our fella is averaging 12 rebounds per game this season and has failed to reach 10 rebounds in ONE game this season. And that was a game in which he played only 25 minutes.
We can expect full minutes from him tonight, especially with the Knicks having a stiff like Mitchell Robinson on the floor. Gobert should be around the basket a TON when Robinson is on the floor and in prime position to grab us 10 boards.
Anthony Edwards Over 19.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
I looked at Anthony Edwards‘ traditional point prop on OddsShopper’s Prop Tool and saw the over on 24.5 was expected to win 51% of the time. And since we had a boost on bet365, I decided we could take an alternate line and make up the juice. So we lowered his point total to 19.5.
Edwards has cashed the over on this bet 83% of the time this season (10 of 12 games) and is the clear No. 1 in Minnesota now.
Shooting guards against the Knicks are averaging 19.9 points, but we all know Edwards is far from average. I like him to get us the buckets we need and keep us pushing in our NBA parlay today.
Jalen Brunson 15+ Points (NBA Player Prop)
Since Jalen Brunson put up an absolute DUD of a game on Nov. 6, this man has been unconscious.
He’s scored 2o or more points in six straight games, including back-to-back 32-point performances. He’s been extremely efficient scoring and has also been shooting the lights out from 3-point range.
We shouldn’t think all of that will continue, especially against the Timberwolves and their strong defense, but we should expect him to be able to get us the 15 points we need.
Julius Randle 2+ Made 3’s (NBA Player Prop)
I won’t lie to you guys, I generally dislike anything having to do with Julius Randle props, but I’m willing to give him a chance. He’s shown a bit more consistency of late and has shot the ball better.
A quick glance shows Randle has made two or more 3-pointers in five of his last seven games. On the season, he’s averaging six shots from 3-point range per game, so he’s getting his jacks up from out there.
The OddsShopper Prop Tool also has the over 1.5 3-pointers prop for Randle as one of the highest-graded props on the board, giving it a 60% expected win rate.
Timberwolves Moneyline vs. Knicks (NBA Prediction)
The last leg of our NBA parlay today comes in the form of a straight-up winner. We’re taking the Timberwolves at home on the moneyline to beat the Knicks.
The Wolves are 9-3 this season and are undefeated at home. Despite it being -152, this feels like pretty good value on the moneyline.
Final NBA Picks & Parlay Bet Today
Leg 1: Rudy Gobert o7.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 2: Rudy Gobert 10+ Rebounds (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 3: Anthony Edwards Over 19.5 Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 4: Jalen Brunson 15+ Points (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 5: Julius Randle 2+ Made 3’s (NBA Player Prop)
Leg 6: Timberwolves Moneyline (NBA Prediction)
= +555 w/ 30% Boost at FanDuel Sportsbook
Check out Greg Ehrenberg’s profits from using OddsShopper Premium!
New to sports betting? OddsShopper’s selection of Betting 101 articles is here to help. Check out our guide to finding positive expected value (+EV), and you can unlock more +EV plays by signing up for OddsShopper Premium! Don’t believe OddsShopper will change your betting results? Check out Greg Ehrenberg’s profits: