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NBA PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, Underdog Fantasy, Betr Picks
Implied odds on PrizePicks are -119, and Jones less than 12.5 points + rebounds is getting a 58% win rate. That is subsequently making OddsShopper’s True Odds -137, so this is a +EV play of 6%.
Underdog’s implied odds are -121 on all their picks, and Smith less than 17.5 points has a 56% expected win percentage. That leads to OddsShopper True Odds of -127, which makes this play 2% +EV.
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Sleeper is different from other pick’em sites in that they assign multipliers for each pick rather than site-wide implied odds. That makes it tough to land +EV picks — today is no exception. However, Murray less than 6.5 rebounds is the closest at -1% expected value, as this has a strong 59% win rate on a mediocre multiplier of 1.67x.
Betr Picks is close to Underdog in the implied odds department, going -122 across the app. We’re heading back to Murray here, as less than 18.5 points for him has a 59% win rate and -147 implied odds, making this 8% EV and and the top play on the entire pick’em board.
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