Welcome to OddsShopper where we have Josh Engleman giving us his PrizePicks expert picks and predictions for tonight’s NBA action. This includes a look at Zion Williamson.
Let’s get to it.
PrizePicks Expert Picks & Predictions: Zion Williamson, Eh?
In tonight’s matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers, I’m leaning towards betting under 35.5 for Zion Williamson‘s combined points, rebounds, and assists. Despite the New Orleans Pelicans playing at home, they’re up against a formidable defense.
The Cavaliers’ defensive capabilities remain strong, even with Evan Mobley sidelined, and they might also see the return of Donovan Mitchell. This situation warrants attention as it could influence the game’s dynamics.
The rationale behind this bet isn’t just about the opposition’s defense. Zion’s playing time is another critical factor. He typically logs around 32 to 34 minutes per game, and for tonight, I’m projecting him at 33 minutes. My analysis sets his PRA at 32, creating a 3.5 margin below the line. This discrepancy made this bet the standout choice in my model today
With a game expected to be played at a slower pace and Zion not monopolizing the minutes, there’s a good chance we’ll see more from CJ McCollum or Brandon Ingram. If it turns into a day where these players take the lead, it significantly reduces the likelihood of Zion having a “monster day,” making the under 35.5 PRA an attractive bet.
PrizePicks Expert Pick: Zion Williamson under 35.5 PRA
Tonight’s game, tipping off at 8:30, features the Warriors up against the Mavericks in Dallas. This bet caught my eye as the top recommendation on OddShopper, solidifying my confidence even before I dug into the details.
Allocating Klay Thompson 30 minutes for tonight’s matchup, my projections land his PRA at 24.8. This places us comfortably three PRA below the line set at 27.5, suggesting a significant overestimation of Klay’s role in the absence of Steph Curry.
While it’s true that Thompson sees a usage increase without Curry, his contributions are largely limited to scoring, with diminished returns in other areas.
The Mavericks present a relatively neutral challenge for 3-point shooters, neither exceptionally limiting opportunities nor allowing excessive free reign.
Given Thompson’s evolved game, which rarely sees him driving to the rim, the main concern would be an extraordinary shooting performance. However, unless Thompson has an unusually hot hand from beyond the arc, this bet is well-positioned for success, capitalizing on what appears to be an inflated line due to Curry’s absence.
PrizePicks Expert Pick: Klay Thompson under 27.5 PRA
If you’re looking for more PrizePicks, Sleeper, Underdog and other fantasy Pick’Em plays, check out our optimizer which shows the best value of the day.
