For those looking for NBA player pick recommendations for PrizePicks or other pick’em sites, we’ve got you covered. In tonight’s NBA action, we’re focusing on two players who are poised to exceed their projected totals for points, rebounds and assists. Jonas Valanciunas and Keon Ellis are the focal points today. Let’s dive into the analysis for both players.
If you’re hungry for more picks, check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos! You can also check out our guide to NBA player prop betting.
PrizePicks NBA Picks & Predictions Today: Jonas Valanciunas, Keon Ellis
Jonas Valanciunas | NBA PrizePicks Pick Today
The Pelicans are set to take on the Lakers at 7:30 PM, and recent trends suggest Valanciunas will have limited impact. In their last meeting, Valanciunas played only about 8 minutes, and similar low usage is anticipated tonight. His recent performances against the Lakers have been underwhelming:
Minimal Playing Time: Valanciunas’ playing time has significantly decreased, and tonight may not be different. He could be limited to one rotation, particularly if his first stint doesn’t go well.
Defensive Liabilities: His inability to effectively handle the pick-and-roll, especially against a player of Anthony Davis‘ caliber, will likely lead to reduced court time.
Poor Recent Form: With a performance of -10 during his brief time on the floor last game, confidence in his contribution is low.
Given these factors, choosing less than 12.5 for his combined points, rebounds, and assists is justified, reflecting his reduced role and the challenging matchup.
PrizePicks Pick Today: Jonas Valanciunas LESS Than 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Keon Ellis | NBA PrizePicks Pick Today
The Kings host the Warriors in a crucial game, tipping off shortly after the Pelicans-Lakers game. Ellis faces a tough situation where his playing time and offensive role could be squeezed due to the game’s high stakes and team dynamics:
Increased Competition for Minutes: Key players like De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis are expected to log 40 or more minutes, which naturally diminishes the minutes available for others.
Uncertain Role: Ellis’ offensive contribution is typically limited, and with the Kings likely to rely on their main scorers and possibly the “hot hand” of other role players, his involvement could further decrease.
Flexible Lineup Adjustments: If other players such as Davion Mitchell perform well or if there’s a tactical shift (like increasing Trey Lyles‘ minutes), Ellis could see even less floor time.
Projecting less than 15.5 for Ellis’ PRA takes into account these potential minute reductions and his minor role in the offense, making this another strong under choice for tonight.
PrizePicks Pick Today: Keon Ellis MORE Than 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Are you maybe an NBA DFS player? Our friends over at Stokastic give out the best NBA DFS picks daily!
