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Categories NBA

Underdog Fantasy NBA Picks & Predictions: Brook Lopez Scores the Rock (December 5)

Updated December 6, 2023 | 8:11 am CDT by Tim Speros
We'll tackle the best NBA player props, picks and predictions today, including a play that will most certainly give...

The NBA in-season tournament continues today with the No. 1 seeds taking on the No. 4 seeds. Action tips off for the Knicks-Bucks game in Milwaukee at 7:30 p.m. ET. In the second game of tonight’s double feature, we’ll see a Suns-Lakers battle in Los Angeles. It should be another fun night of NBA basketball with both game totals set at 230.  Let’s get to the best Underdog Fantasy NBA picks for today, starting with Brook Lopez. Looking for more Underdog Fantasy advice? Check out our NBA Underdog Optimizer and the rest of our NBA articles.

The NBA can be confusing to navigate with so many players questionable and or sitting out so let’s find some plus EV plays and win some money! If you haven’t signed up for the fun, new DFS pick’em site yet, please take advantage of our Underdog Fantasy promo: Get your first deposit DOUBLED on Underdog Fantasy up to $100!

Underdog NBA Player Predictions | Dec. 5

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Brook Lopez H/L 11.5 Points

The top-seed Bucks are 5-point home favorites over the Knicks and are 9-1 at home this season. This is a pace-down spot against New York but a favorable matchup for centers. The Knicks allow the third most points per game to the position at 36.4 per game and rank 28th in the NBA in 3PM allowed to centers. Brook Lopez is averaging 13.5 points per game and 14.7 at home. Lopez is shooting 41.8% from three at home resulting in 2.4 3PM per game. With Mitchell Robinson dropping back to play help defense and block shots, Lopez should get plenty of open looks to convert tonight.

Best Underdog NBA Fantasy Play: Brook Lopez Higher Than 11.5 Points

Jalen Brunson H/L 5.5 Assists

Jalen Brunson is averaging 5.5 assists per game on the season and 11.7 potential assists per game over his last 10 games. We can expect the Knicks starters to play a few more minutes than normal in this win-or-go-home scenario. Brunson is averaging 35.5 minutes per game and I expect to see 38-40 minutes for him tonight. All of the books have the over on this prop between -135 and -140 odds. This is a pace-up spot for the Knicks as Milwaukee runs at 102 possessions per game.

Best Underdog NBA Fantasy Play: Jalen Brunson Higher Than 5.5 Assists

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Damian Lillard H/L 25.5 Points

The Knicks rank third in defensive rating but are just 25th in points allowed to guards. That puts Damian Lillard in a good position to score tonight even in a pace-down spot. Lillard is averaging 25.5 points per game and 26 at home on 9.3 FTA.  He scored 30 points on just 15 FGA and went 12 for 12 from the free throw line in the Bucks’ 5-point win over New York back on November 3rd. All books favor the over on this prop while the odds range from -105 to -139.

The Knicks are allowing 8.1 3PM to opposing guards, which ranks 25th in the NBA. Lillard is attempting 8.4 threes per game and should be able to convert three or four tonight putting him in a good position to get to 26 points.

Best Underdog NBA Fantasy Play: Damian Lillard Higher than 25.5 Points

OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips

Looking for more 2023-24 NBA predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this NBA season — make sure to check out the rest of our NBA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.

Categories NBA
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Tim Speros

Author

Tim Speros

Tim Speros is a sports betting analyst and a distinguished DFS writer for OddsShopper and Stokastic. With over 15 years of experience in the sports industry, Tim has a passion for educating and entertaining others through sports. Before joining our team, Tim worked in player development for the NBA league office, served as an NBA statistician for the Golden State Warriors, and contributed to various fantasy sports content providers. Tim holds a bachelor’s degree from Boston College and a Master’s in Sports Management from Georgetown. When he’s not chasing his three kids around, he enjoys chasing the 30x flex plays on PrizePicks.

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