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Categories NCAAF

CFB Playoff Chaos: Alabama National Championship Odds Already Swinging Out of Control

Updated December 5, 2023 | 8:08 am CDT by Sam Smith
Want to become a profitable college football bettor? Our how-to strategy guide on turning a profit with college football with positive EV...

Say what you want about the teams chosen for the College Football Playoff; it’s creating chaos mere hours in. Social media was abuzz when it was revealed that Alabama, not undefeated ACC champion Florida State, had earned the final spot in the playoff. Some felt it was SEC bias that led to one-loss Alabama being viewed as “better” than the Seminoles. However, the recent movement of the college football national championship odds reveal one thing: Bettors and sportsbooks alike are buying the Crimson Tide more and more as the Playoff draws nearer.

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Alabama CFB Playoff: Huge Shift in National Championship Odds

The seeding for the College Football Playoff is as follows: 1. Michigan, 2. Washington, 3. Texas and 4. Alabama. And following this reveal, BetMGM had the odds to win the national championship as:

  • +110 Michigan
  • +350 Texas
  • +450 Washington
  • +500 Alabama

Well, that didn’t last long. Just a couple of hours later, Alabama has jumped from the worst odds of the four (+500) to the second best, barely behind favored Michigan:

  • +170 Michigan
  • +190 Alabama
  • +310 Texas
  • +700 Washington

Call it SEC bias on the part of sportsbooks all you want, but it is clear that the winner of the semifinal matchup between Michigan and Alabama is going to enter the National Championship as a fairly sizable favorite, barring something crazy in the Texas-Washington game.

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The general consensus across the college football world appears to be that the Wolverines are the best overall team in the nation after they beat Iowa convincingly in the Big Ten championship a week after taking out Ohio State. Alabama, meanwhile, certainly has the best win of the four playoff teams, knocking off No. 1 and two-time defending champion Georgia to take home the SEC title. Alabama did, however, lose to No. 3 Texas this year, and the Longhorns also won their conference in blowout fashion.

And then there is Washington, the team experts and bettors seem least convinced about. The Huskies are comfortably behind the other three teams on the championship odds board despite beating favored Oregon in the Pac-12 title game to cap off an undefeated season, which was the second time they took down the Ducks this year.

As for the playoff matchups, here are the favorites for the two semifinal games:

  • Michigan -1.5, -120 moneyline
  • Texas -4.5, -185 moneyline

The Texas-Washington game is also expected to be much more of a shootout given the 64.5 total. The Alabama-Michigan matchup is appropriately viewed as a defensive battle, with that game total coming in a 45.5 on BetMGM.

Want to stay on top of the best CFB Playoff and National Championship odds as they shift across different sportsbooks and markets? Sign up NOW for OddsShopper Premium and get access to all the up-to-the-minute odds and data to grab the best +EV bets! Don’t believe OddsShopper will change your betting results? Check out Greg Ehrenberg’s profits:

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Sam Smith

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015 while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With OddsShopper, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with OddsShopper's data to bring you the best betting information possible.

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