Skip to content
logo
Search Icon
​
Top Bets
Top Bets
My Bets
My Bets
Portfolio Lab
Portfolio Lab
Help
Help
Categories News

2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & Picks: Chestnut the GOAT, but More Value in Field (July 4)

July 03, 2023 | 7:10 PM by Matt Gajewski
2023-nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest joey-chestnut

The Fourth of July marks the pinnacle of modern day sports. At high noon on the 4th the country’s best athletes will take the stage in an unmatched feat of modern day athleticism known as the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. And most importantly, the public has a chance to get action down on this monumental event.

Joey Chestnut is the GOAT, but he’ll be joined by a slew of other professional eaters for bettors to consider. That means some analysis is in order, so let’s dive into the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest on Underdog odds and best bets!

New to sports betting? OddsShopper’s selection of Betting 101 articles is here to help. Check out our guide to finding positive expected value (+EV) or our sport-specific guides, including our guide to NFL betting and our expert advice for NBA betting. If you’re looking for sharp plays each day, check out OddsShopper’s bet shopping pages — you can even unlock more +EV plays by signing up for OddsShopper Premium!

React App

Best Offers in All States

All States
State

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Bets: Joey Chestnut, Nick Wehry, Geoffrey Esper

Joey Chestnut – Over 72.5 Hot Dogs Eaten

You may have heard of Joey Chestnut, who is otherwise known as the Michael Jordan of hot dog eating. He enters this contest having won seven straight events and 15 of the last 16 competitions. Chestnut was off his game last year, turning in a performance of just 63 dogs eaten. However, Chestnut dealt with some external circumstances last year. He tore his Achilles, which prevented him from his usual cardio regime. Yes, that’s right, a strict cardio regime is in fact part of Chestnut’s process. He also dealt with the passing of his mother the month prior to the contest, which definitely took an emotional toll on the professional eater. Finally, Chestnut battled through adversity when a protestor jumped on the stage, disrupting his process.

All of those distractions are behind behind him. Chestnut has been reaching the upper 70’s and low 80’s in preparation for the 2023 contest with the issues now aside. Prior to last year’s showing, Chestnut has reached 70 dogs or more in six straight contests. With the weather expected to cooperate here, Chestnut should again eclipse his 72.5 hot dog prop.

Nick Wehry – Under 45.5 Hot Dogs Eaten

Nick Wehry comes in with a prop of 45.5 hot dogs which is one of the most perplexing lines on the Nathan Hot Dog Eating Contest odds board.  This number has come down from 46.5, but it remains a value bet. Wehry has never eaten more than 44 hot dogs in any contest. Last year he came in at 40 on the dot.

Geoffrey Esper – Under 48.5 Hot Dogs Eaten

This final hot dog contest bet is a bit riskier than the two previous prop bets. Geoffrey Esper enters with a prop bet odds of 48.5. Esper has eclipsed this mark just once in the last six competitions. His only time reaching the number occurred in the historic contest of 2021, where Chestnut broke the world record and multiple eaters hit personal records. Last year, Esper came in at 47.5. While the margins are narrower here, Esper’s under still deserves to be played.

Categories News
Best Mariners-Giants MLB Betting Pick & Prediction: Thairo Estrada Back in Action (July 3)
Best Home Run Bets Today for FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday: Let Freedom Ding! (July 4)
Avatar

Author

Matt Gajewski

Next Story

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!

Trending & Related

Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!

Where Is Novig Legal? A 2025 Guide to Novig Legal States

Longest Odds to Win the NBA Draft Lottery | Who Those Lucky Teams Took

Betting 101

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm | Sam Smith
How Bettors Used Portfolio EV to Beat the Books in May
June 1, 2025 12:56 pm | Sam Smith
Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 20, 2025 2:17 pm | Dave Loughran
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
May 20, 2025 2:10 pm | Isaiah Sirois
How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200
May 16, 2025 7:11 am | Greg Ehrenberg
You Don’t Need to Be a Genius to Beat the Books — Just the Right Tools
April 26, 2025 8:15 am | Dave Loughran

Related Articles

Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 5, 2025 11:50 am | Sam Smith
Where Is Novig Legal? A 2025 Guide to Novig Legal States
June 1, 2025 11:35 am | Sam Smith
Best DraftKings Pick6 Promo Code Today
May 31, 2025 11:01 am | Joseph Nardone
Best FanDuel Promo Code Today
May 31, 2025 11:01 am | Joseph Nardone
Best Fanatics Promo Code Today
May 31, 2025 11:01 am | Joseph Nardone
Best Sleeper Promo Code Today
May 29, 2025 9:32 am | Joseph Nardone

How Do I Make Money Sports Betting? Portfolio EV, Of Course
June 6, 2025 11:00 am
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
June 5, 2025 1:56 pm
What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:54 am
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
June 5, 2025 11:52 am
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 5, 2025 11:50 am
Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:45 am
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Chet Holmgren (June 5)
June 5, 2025 9:01 am
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Pablo Lopez (June 3)
June 3, 2025 12:25 pm
EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm
How to Sweat Bets the Fun Way and Make Money the +EV Way
June 2, 2025 12:38 pm

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are incredible sportsbook bonus codes and DFS app promo codes that are expressly designed to help new players get started building a bankroll. As a new player, it's often correct to focus on taking advantage of as many of these offers as you can. Even better, having access to more books lets you take advantage of line shopping so that you can always get the best payout for your winning bets. Books like BetMGM and bet365 have great first-bet offers for new players. On the DFS App side, operators like Underdog and Sleeper offer matches on your first deposit up to a certain amount. Use the links below to explore the best sportsbook promo codes. Once you get signed up with a bonus, make sure to use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Best BetMGM Bonus Code

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Best Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Promo Code

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Best FanDuel Promo Code

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Best PrizePicks Promo Code

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Best UnderDog Fantasy Promo Code

Get a promo code for UnderDog

Join the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes
  • About Us

    • Contact Us
    • Terms of Use
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.