The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers will meet in a crucial NFC West battle on tonight’s edition of Thursday Night Football. San Francisco locks up the NFC West with a win. Seattle’s playoff odds will either improve to 78% with a win — or fall to 33% with a loss. Those trying to identify the best bet in tonight’s 49ers-Seahawks matchup should target this high-value George Kittle prop — or check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays
49ers-Seahawks Best Bet: George Kittle Receiving Prop
Following the injury to Deebo Samuel, the San Francisco 49ers will have to adjust their target distribution. Samuel had been averaging 7.6 targets per game, but his production will now have to get split between the likes of Brandon Aiyuk, Jauan Jennings, George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey. Bettors should expect Kittle to benefit the most tonight.
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Tight end George Kittle has averaged 45.5 receiving yards per game this year. He caught four of his five targets from Brock Purdy last week for 28 yards in a blowout win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With the Seahawks projected to keep this game a bit closer and Samuel now hurt, expect Kittle’s production to tick up from last week’s performance.
Seattle’s defense makes for a great matchup. The Seahawks invested heavily at cornerback in the draft and secured two solid players in boundary cornerback Tariq Woolen and slot cornerback Coby Bryant. As a result, Seattle has allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game to wide receivers (130.4). That production has instead gone to tight ends and running backs — Seattle has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game to tight ends (56.6).
Further, Kittle has taken advantage of Seattle’s defense in the past. The star tight end has gone for at least 39 receiving yards in each of his last seven starts against the Seahawks, a trend that dates back to his second year in the league. With his receiving prop set to only 38.5, bettors should back this George Kittle prop in hopes of a solid return.
49ers-Seahawks Best Bet: George Kittle Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-120) at BetMGM
