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Categories NFL

Best Super Bowl NFL Picks & Predictions: This Guy Is a Great Longshot MVP Bet

February 09, 2023 | 11:53 AM by Dave Loughran

The NFL Super Bowl is finally here, and fans from all over the world are eagerly waiting for the biggest game of the year. This year’s Super Bowl features the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs, two of the most talented teams in the league. With two explosive offenses and two strong defenses, this game promises to be a high-scoring and entertaining affair. In this article, I will take a closer look at some of the best Super Bowl bets available for Chiefs-Eagles.

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Best Super Bowl Bets and Player Props

Best Super Bowl Bet: Eagles Moneyline (-125)

The Eagles are the more complete team, with a superior offensive and defensive line, better pass catchers and better health overall. However, that isn’t to say that the Chiefs aren’t very talented in the trenches. Despite the fact that Patrick Mahomes is not at full strength, he can single-handedly win games. Jalen Hurts is no slouch himself, and the Eagles are fully healthy across the board. Philadelphia hasn’t faced an elite quarterback all season, so this will be the biggest test it’s faced. However, the Eagles can match Kansas City’s offensive firepower and have elite talent on both sides of the line. In a game where there’s no massive edge on either side, the Eagles moneyline makes the most sense.

Best Super Bowl Bet: Jalen Hurts OVER 10.5 Rushing Attempts (-101)

Hurts has shown that he can run the ball effectively all season long. He has had nine or more rushing attempts in recent games where the Eagles didn’t need to do much in the second half. With this game being the biggest test the Eagles have faced this season, Hurts will need to exhaust every option to continue putting points on the board. Given the magnitude of the game, it’s likely that the Eagles will deploy some unique ways to get Hurts more involved with his legs, making the over on 10.5 rushing attempts a strong bet.

Best Super Bowl Bet: A.J. Brown Player With Longest Reception (+225)

Brown is one of the best deep threats in the league and has the most deep targets  of any player in this game, with 32. Despite the fact that there are many ways this could break against us, the +225 odds imply a 30% probability of Brown having the longest reception, which is a good bet given how often Hurts looks to Brown downfield and how dominant Brown is after the catch.

Best Super Bowl Bet: Isiah Pacheco OVER 16.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

Pacheco looks like he’s beginning to take over the Chiefs backfield, and in the Conference Championship, he played a season-high 57% of snaps and was targeted six times. If one of Juju Smith-Schuster or Kadarius Toney are unable to play, Pacheco’s role in the game could become even more significant.

Best Super Bowl Bet: OVER 5.5 Total Game Sacks (-105)

The two teams are averaging a combined 7.4 sacks per game, and despite having two good offensive lines, the game could still see a high number of sacks. Mahomes is still recovering from injury, and Andy Reid has recently admitted that Mahomes is not 100% yet. With him not at full strength, there is a good chance that the game will see more sacks than the over/under of 5.5.

Best Super Bowl Bet: Haason Reddick MVP (+3500)

Reddick is a long shot to win the Super Bowl MVP, with odds of +3500. A $10 bet on him will return $350 if he does win. I believe that even though it is a long shot, it is worth taking a chance on Reddick as the MVP in the Super Bowl. He has a chance to be the X-factor in the game, especially if the Eagles win, Hurts plays just OK and the backfield continues its committee approach. If Mahomes is under duress all game long, Reddick could be the player to shine and potentially win the MVP award.

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