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Categories NFL

Best Super Bowl LVII Player Prop: Will Patrick Mahomes Have to Scramble?

February 10, 2023 | 6:31 PM by Isaiah Sirois
Raiders-Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Bet for Friday (Nov. 29)

After a long two weeks of waiting, Super Bowl LVII has almost arrived. Bettors eager to get action on Sunday’s festivities need not look further — OddsShopper’s tools and articles have you covered. For those looking to bet sides, check out my model’s prediction and best bet! NFL bettors should tail the following Super Bowl player prop for Sunday’s Eagles-Chiefs matchup — DraftKings has simply left too much value on the player prop markets for Patrick Mahomes. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.

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Best Super Bowl LVII Player Prop | Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes O/U 19.5 Rushing Yards  

The Philadelphia Eagles dominated their opponents in the opening two rounds of the playoffs. They easily dispatched the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers by double-digit margins, largely because of their effective pass rush. The Eagles rank second in pressure percentage (25.5%), behind only the Dallas Cowboys. They also lead the NFL in sacks (70).

However, the Eagles often give up rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks who can scramble away from pressure. Daniel Jones ran six times for 24 yards in the Divisional Round. Although neither Brock Purdy nor Josh Johnson did much damage on the ground in the NFC Championship, they also didn’t get much playing time. The Eagles allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks this season (26.4), including a 41-yard performance by Dak Prescott and a 34-yard performance from Ryan Tannehill.

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Although Patrick Mahomes suffered a high ankle sprain against the Jacksonville Jaguars, he has had plenty of time to rehab the injury. Mahomes has fully participated in Kansas City’s practices so far and has told the press that his ankle will be “ready” for the Super Bowl. Mahomes still ran for eight yards against the Cincinnati Bengals two weeks ago and should easily scamper for another 20 when pressured this Sunday.

Plenty of value remains on the Patrick Mahomes player prop markets, especially at DraftKings Sportsbook. The total (19.5) sits below Mahomes’ regular-season average (21.1), and the over is priced in the plus money. Readers who are new to DraftKings can secure $200 in bonus bets by simply placing a $5 wager! If you’re in Ohio, you can access that promotion via this link instead.

Best NFL Super Bowl Player Prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (+100) at DraftKings

Super Bowl Promos

  • FanDuel: $3,000 No Sweat First Bet + Win a share of $10 million in bonus bets with Gronk’s Kick of Destiny
  • PrizePicks: 100% Deposit Match up to $100 + If Patrick Mahomes Throws for 1+ Yard, You Win!
  • Top Promos for Super Bowl 57 Prop Bets

Super Bowl 57 Betting Tips

  • Super Bowl 57 Model Prediction & Best Bet
  • Top 5 Early Bold Predictions for Super Bowl 57
  • Super Bowl 57 Betting Tips: How to Bet Chiefs vs. Eagles
  • Top 3 Super Bowl Prop Picks & Predictions
  • Lindy’s Leans, Likes, and Locks for Super Bowl 57

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Isaiah Sirois

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a sports betting analyst at OddsShopper specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar on Sundays. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University and briefly attended Vanderbilt Law School before dropping out to work at OddsShopper.

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