Bettors have been flocking to ride Tom Brady ahead of his 20th career NFL Playoff trip, but is there value in fading the GOAT? Let’s take a look at the best Tom Brady player props to take ahead of the Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
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Best Tom Brady Player Prop vs. Cowboys
The Stokastic NFL Player Prop tool gives bettors the chance to key in on the best expected value throughout the postseason. The models have highlighted the under on 28.5 pass completions as the best player prop to take for the Cowboys-Buccaneers. Brady is projected at 25.5 completions, giving the under an expected win percentage of 74%. The expected value of 39% is the highest of any player prop on the board Monday.
Brady leads the NFL in passing completion this season with 490, good for 28.8 a game. He also has over 30 completions in five of his last six games. But the Cowboys’ defense presents a challenge for Brady. Dallas has not allowed over 28 passing completions in any game during the regular season, holding Brady to 18 of 27 for 212 yards in their Week 1 matchup.
“He has seen every defense,” Tampa Bay safety Logan Ryan told reporters of Brady, per Fox Sports. “He did this 20 years ago as a [young] quarterback winning the Super Bowl. His preparation is his life experience. It is his life. He’s good in those moments because he’s good every day. If it is best-out-of-one, in football, I’ll take Tom Brady to be the quarterback.”
The Buccaneers will certainly need a strong performance from Brady on Monday night to pull off the playoff upset over the Cowboys, but they’ll likely lean on their running game, as well. The Cowboys rank in the top ten in the league in passing yards per game, (200.9) but have been struggling to control the running game, allowing 129.3 rushing yards per game.
Look for the Buccaneers to lean on running backs Rachaad White and Leonard Fournette against the Cowboys, making the under on the Tom Brady passing yards prop a high-value play.
Best Tom Brady Prop: UNDER 28.5 Completions
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