The Atlanta Falcons and superstar rookie Bijan Robinson will host the Washington Commanders this weekend. The Commanders are coming off a disappointing loss to the Chicago Bears, but they’ll benefit from getting a few extra days of rest after playing on a Thursday. Let’s dive into the Commanders-Falcons player prop markets to pick the best bet for Week 6, which is a bet on Bijan Robinson. If you’re looking for the most up-to-date Commanders-Falcons odds, make sure to check out OddsShopper’s shop pages!
Commanders-Falcons Player Prop Bet for Week 6
Commanders-Falcons Information
Expert: Isaiah Sirois
Watch: CBS
When: Sunday, Oct. 15 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Who: Bijan Robinson at Caesars
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Commanders-Falcons Player Prop Pick for Bijan Robinson
The Washington Commanders will visit the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, and I want action on star running back Bijan Robinson. Both teams have looked shaky and are a combined 5-5. The Falcons are 2.5-point home favorites for the matchup, so if everything goes according to plan, you can expect plenty of rushing attempts from them on Sunday. The Falcons rank seventh in rushing-play percentage (46.3%) but jump to fourth when we isolate stats teams have recorded on their home fields (53.5%). Let’s trust Robinson to do his job on the ground in Week 6.
Robinson, a first-round draft selection this year, has excelled in his debut season. He is averaging 72.8 rushing yards per game with two 100-plus yard performances on the ground. He is also averaging exactly 102 all-purpose yards per game. Robinson draws a matchup with a Washington Commanders defense that ranks 17th in total yards allowed to running backs (433) but 26th in yards allowed per rush attempt (4.8) and 31st in run-stop win rate (27%). The Commanders haven’t faced a running back of Robinson’s caliber thus far.
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The books are taking action on Robinson’s rushing yardage at 68.5 or 69.5, but we’re teasing this up to 75 at Caesars. BetMGM is charging -125 for Robinson to get 75-plus yards, but we’ll find this one priced all the way up at +111 on Caesars. Although Robinson has cleared that threshold just twice in his short career, he is yet to face a defense that has struggled as much as Washington’s in the trenches. The rising star could cash the over with just a few breakaway runs. If James Cook can put up 98 rushing yards on 15 carries and Khalil Herbert can get 76 on 10, Robinson has better than coin-flip odds of recording at least 75 on Sunday.
Best Commanders-Falcons Player Prop: Bijan Robinson 75+ Rushing Yards +111 at Caesars
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