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Categories NFL

FREE Conference Championship Sunday NFL Pick Today: Ben’s Sharp Bet of the Day (January 26)

Updated January 26, 2025 | 3:50 pm CDT by Ben Rasa
Free NFL Picks Today: Bills-Chiefs Conference Championship Pick

It’s one of the best Sundays of the year — NFL Conference Championship Sunday! With the NFC and AFC titles on the line, we have two epic games to dive into, and I’m here to break it all down with my Bills-Chiefs Conference Championship bet. Also, be sure to visit OddsShopper for more FREE expert NFL picks and best bets, NFL betting advice and +EV NFL bets!

Portfolio EV is the simplest way to grow your bankroll and secure long-term profits. Access more +EV bets by signing up with a FREE TRIAL — visit our Portfolio Betting page to begin!

Free Conference Championship Sunday NFL Expert Pick Today

If you’re new here, welcome aboard! Take a look around and check out what we have going here at OddsShopper. From daily betting insights to tools like Portfolio EV and the Tails marketplace, there’s something for everyone. Now let’s get to Sunday’s Bills-Chiefs pick.

Free NFL Expert Pick: Josh Allen Over 0.5 Touchdowns

For today’s pick, I’m stepping away from the usual sides and totals to focus on a player prop: Josh Allen to score a touchdown at any time.

Allen is a monster in the red zone. Against Baltimore, he logged 10 carries for two touchdowns. While his rushing stats weren’t flashy (20 yards), he’s methodical and lethal near the goal line. I looked at games where Allen had eight or more carries this season. Out of those games, he scored a touchdown in seven. That’s consistent red zone production we can’t ignore.

Sportsbooks are projecting around 9.5 to 10.5 carries, aligning with his touchdown trends. In the biggest games, Allen steps up, and this is as big as it gets. In high-stakes matchups, Allen takes matters into his own hands. Whether it’s a quarterback sneak, a designed run or a scramble, the opportunities will be there. We’ve seen him score from close range and even from longer distances, like the 26-yard touchdown against the Chiefs earlier this season.

I shopped this bet across sportsbooks and found the best value at DraftKings with -115 odds. It’s a straightforward angle — Allen’s volume on the ground, red zone opportunities and ability to finish drives make this a strong play.

Best Bills-Chiefs Bet: Josh Allen Over 0.5 Touchdowns (-115, DraftKings)

Want more picks from me? Join Tails By OddsShopper and become part of a thriving community of sharp bettors! Plus, get all my picks and tips for 50% OFF with code JAZZRAZ50 at checkout! Click the image to sign up.

Categories NFL
Conference Championship NFL Best Bets: Odds, Sides & Totals for Bills-Chiefs & More
DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the NFL Conference Championship
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