We’ve made it to NFL Survivor pool picks Week 4, and I’m still standing strong. Week 3 finally thinned the herd a bit; Green Bay went down, and some Survivor pools lost chunks of entries. That’s exactly what we want: To stay alive while others drop out.
For Week 4, I have three plays lined up: One obvious, one risky and the one I’m personally rolling with. I’ll give you a taste here, but if you want all my NFL picks for Week 4, head over to the Tails Free Picks page; that’s where I post everything for free.
NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 4 (2025)
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Buffalo Bills
If you just want to guarantee survival and don’t care about long-term planning, the Buffalo Bills are the clear answer in Week 4 Survivor picks.
They’re more than two-touchdown favorites at home against the Saints. Josh Allen, James Cook and this defense are rolling, and the Saints haven’t shown much life on the road. Sure, using Buffalo this early means you won’t have them later in the season, but if you’re in a small NFL Survivor pool and your only goal is to make it to Week 5, you could lock in the Bills and sleep easy.
New England Patriots
Now, if you want to think a little more long-term, New England is interesting. I know, they’re not a team you feel great about, but that’s kind of the point.
The Patriots are sitting around -230 favorites at home against Carolina. The Panthers flashed last week, but they’re still a weak team on the road. By taking New England now, you get rid of a team that you’ll never feel good about saving for later.
My Favorite Pick This Week
As for who I’m actually rolling with, I’m going in a direction most of the field won’t. If you want to learn what direction that is, I break down my full reasoning, plus every other bet I’m on for Week 4 over on Tails Free Picks.
All my Survivor content, along with my NFL plays for the week, drop there in real time. The best part is it’s completely free. You can follow me on Tails, get notifications the second I post and tail the bets right into your sportsbook with one click.
