Thursday Night Football brings an important AFC East battle between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots. If the 6-5 Patriots are going to have any hope of catching the 8-3 Bills, they have to win this game. This game also brings us another opportunity to play on No House Advantage. There are two types of contests to play, “Pick ‘Em” and “Vs The House.” Let’s try to help narrow down the field by highlighting some of the best props to target, including a surprising Josh Allen pick. Also, check out our NFL Player Props Tool to help you make all of your selections.
NFL Thursday Night Football Odds and Props: No House Advantage
Josh Allen: Over 0.5 Interceptions
Allen has not missed a game because of the elbow injury that he suffered in Week 9 against the Jets. He hasn’t been limited, either, attempting at least 42 passes in two of three games. He threw two touchdown passes against the Lions in Week 12, marking his first game with multiple touchdown passes since Week 8.
Allen also threw an interception against the Lions, marking the fourth time in the last five games that he has thrown at least one interception. He has been picked off 11 total times, which comes on the heels of him throwing 15 interceptions last season. The Patriots are tied for the fourth-most interceptions (12) in the league, making the over here an appealing option.
Devin Singletary: Over 55.5 Rushing Yards
Singletary was busy against the Lions last week, rushing 14 times for 72 yards. It marked the fifth time in the last six games that he was given at least 13 carries. During that stretch, he finished with at least 56 rushing yards four times. In fact, he had at least 67 rushing yards in each of those four games.
James Cook hasn’t been utilized much, finishing with five or fewer caries in all but two games this season. The Bills have also barely used Nyheim Hines, who has played a total of 23 offensive snaps and has just two carries over four games since being acquired from the Colts. Although the Patriots have allowed the ninth-fewest rushing yards per game in the league, Singletary’s role as the lead back for the Bills still makes the over the way to go.
Mac Jones: Over 232.5 Passing Yards
Jones had his best game of the season last week against the Vikings, throwing for 382 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. It was his first multi-touchdown game of the season, his second game with at least 300 passing yards and his third straight game without an interception. As good as he was, the Patriots still lost, falling further behind the Bills in the standings.
One of the reasons why Jones was so productive last week was that he attempted a season-high 39 passes while trying to keep up with the Vikings’ potent offense. The Vikings have scored an average of 23.8 points per game, while the Bills are averaging 28.1 points per game. With the potential for a lot of pass attempts for Jones again, he could produce another lofty passing yards total.
Gabriel Davis: Under 4.5 Receptions
Davis was quiet against the Lions, catching four passes for 38 yards. He has produced some monster stat lines this season, but he has been mostly a boom-or-bust option. He has four games with at least 74 receiving yards and five games with fewer than 40 receiving yards.
With Stefon Diggs leading the Bills at wide receiver, Davis doesn’t always receive a ton of targets. In fact, he has topped six targets in a game only three times this season. It will be difficult for him to reach the over on his prop when you consider that the Patriots have allowed the fourth-fewest receptions to wide receivers in the league. The NFL Player Props Tool has Davis projected to finish this game with 3.1 receptions.
